WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	73		Excitement	51.2 [1]		MVP	Angel McCoughtry (ATL): +73.7%
Atlanta Dream	74		Comeback	37.9 [4]		LVP	Roneeka Hodges (ATL): -21.7%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.34	0.21	0.13	-0.00	17	60%	0.36	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.07
Betnijah Laney	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Courtney Vandersloot	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	13	62%	0.30	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Cheyenne Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacki Gemelos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.11	10	90%	0.01
Sasha Goodlett	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clarissa Dos Santos	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Jamierra Faulkner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel McCoughtry	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0,-0.1,0.74	0.74	-0.08	0.80	-0.02	18	44%	0.88	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Cierra Burdick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	7	61%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Erika de Souza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.05	0.00	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nadia Colhado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Sydney Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Shoni Schimmel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	10	32%	-0.01	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Roneeka Hodges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.22	-0.22	0.03	-0.26	-0.01	10	57%	-0.16	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	WNBA	CHI	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.7	86.9	88.1	97.1
season	14.9	14.8		103.2	96.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		98.8	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	13.2	14.9	14.7	14.2
ATL	12.0	17.7	13.7	14.6	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	79%	19%	1.6%	0.0%	36.7%	41.7%	100.0%
ATL	0%	76%	15%	8.5%	0.0%	43.5%	54.5%	16.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	13	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	3	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	11	59%	1	0%	1	100%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Jacki Gemelos	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	5	20%	3	33%	0	0%
Sasha Goodlett	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Clarissa Dos Santos	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	49	37%	12	42%	1	100%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	13	38%	2	50%	3	33%
Cierra Burdick	0	0%	4	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	8	62%	2	50%	1	0%
Nadia Colhado	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Carter	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shoni Schimmel	0	0%	6	17%	4	50%	0	0%
Roneeka Hodges	0	0%	8	69%	0	0%	2	0%
Dream	0	0%	54	44%	11	55%	6	17%