WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	90		Excitement	13.9 [2]		MVP	Natasha Howard (IND): +81.4%
Indiana Fever	88		Comeback	3.4 [73]		LVP	Maggie Lucas (IND): -53.4%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel McCoughtry	0.77	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.77	0.16	0.63	0.01	15	71%	1.03	5	-0.25	8	87%	0.06
Aneika Henry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	82%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Erika de Souza	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	12	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Inga Orekhova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Swin Cash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Matee Ajavon	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shoni Schimmel	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	14	61%	0.36	7	-0.46	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	10	42%	0.06	3	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Jasmine Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	11	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.81	0.81	0.18	0.62	-0.02	13	70%	0.89	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.22
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.36	0.08	0.27	-0.01	11	65%	0.52	4	-0.17	4	25%	-0.17
Lynetta Kizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.15	-0.13	0.01	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Marissa Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Karima Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	-0.01	9	44%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	4	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.20	-0.06	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	7	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Maggie Lucas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.53	-0.53	-0.10	-0.43	0.00	8	18%	-0.48	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	WNBA	ATL	IND	WNBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.5	92.8	88.9	98.3
season	14.1	16.3		96.9	97.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.1	94.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	12.3	16.1	14.6	14.5
IND	14.4	12.6	14.0	19.8	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	68%	22%	9.7%	0.0%	51.0%	50.0%	64.3%
IND	0%	57%	32%	10.8%	0.0%	57.1%	50.0%	37.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	8	56%	3	67%	4	87%
Aneika Henry	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	7	71%	3	67%	2	0%
Inga Orekhova	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Swin Cash	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shoni Schimmel	0	0%	9	61%	4	50%	1	100%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	8	37%	2	50%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	7	43%	4	25%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	49	51%	16	50%	7	64%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	6	67%	4	100%	3	67%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	5	60%	5	80%	1	100%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Hassell	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	10	80%	4	25%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Karima Christmas	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	1	0%
Sydney Carter	0	0%	2	100%	3	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Maggie Lucas	0	0%	0	0%	5	20%	3	0%
Fever	0	0%	42	57%	24	50%	8	37%