WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	96		Excitement	12.7 [2]		MVP	DeWanna Bonner (PHO): +67.1%
Phoenix Mercury	95		Comeback	5.2 [29]		LVP	Candice Dupree (PHO): -21.8%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renee Montgomery	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.35,0.55,0.46	0.19	0.24	-0.02	19	61%	0.61	2	-0.16	8	87%	0.01
Tina Charles	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.09,0.31	0.01	0.31	0.01	24	46%	0.52	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02
Asjha Jones	0.28	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28	0.21	0.07	0.00	18	71%	0.42	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Kara Lawson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.14	-0.00	9	47%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jessica Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allison Hightower	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalana Greene	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tan White	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.67	0.67	0.17	0.49	-0.00	20	55%	0.67	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Penny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.20	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.13	-0.01	23	52%	0.19	2	-0.17	10	100%	0.07
Nakia Sanford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Temeka Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ketia Swanier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	0.02	-0.23	0.00	9	56%	-0.01	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	PHO	WNBA	CON	PHO	WNBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.3	104.3	101.1	97.8
season	14.8	13.5		98.5	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.6	94.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	13.1	14.6	15.6	17.5	15.3
PHO	12.5	13.3	13.0	15.0	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	71%	26%	2.4%	0.0%	43.3%	65.9%	50.0%
PHO	0%	61%	30%	9.0%	0.0%	50.9%	37.0%	31.2%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	13	46%	5	90%	1	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	16	37%	7	57%	1	100%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	14	71%	4	75%	0	0%
Kara Lawson	0	0%	6	17%	3	100%	0	0%
Jessica Moore	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allison Hightower	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalana Greene	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Griffin	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Tan White	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	60	43%	22	66%	2	50%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	7	71%	10	25%	3	83%
Penny Taylor	0	0%	9	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	14	46%	7	43%	2	0%
Nakia Sanford	0	0%	8	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Temeka Johnson	0	0%	4	62%	2	75%	1	0%
Ketia Swanier	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	5	80%	2	50%	2	0%
Mercury	0	0%	54	51%	27	37%	8	31%