WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	79		Excitement	46.7 [1]		MVP	Sue Bird (SEA): +84.5%
Seattle Storm	81		Comeback	5.6 [37]		LVP	Asjha Jones (CON): -36.7%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.76	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.76	0.02	0.70	-0.03	17	47%	0.79	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Kara Lawson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Renee Montgomery	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	68%	0.28	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Kelsey Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.04	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jessica Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tan White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalana Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danielle McCray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asjha Jones	-0.37	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.37	-0.04	-0.34	-0.01	11	50%	-0.29	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.12

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sue Bird	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.84	0.84	0.09	0.74	-0.01	15	62%	0.91	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Camille Little	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	7	72%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Tanisha Wright	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.02	-0.01	10	69%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Katie Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lecoe Willingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.00	3	133%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Swin Cash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.06	12	56%	0.20	7	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Ewelina Kobryn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashley Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	SEA	WNBA	CON	SEA	WNBA
this game	15.8	17.3	15.3	109.7	111.0	97.8
season	14.8	16.3		98.5	96.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		94.1	94.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	16.2	16.7	17.4	12.9	15.8
SEA	17.1	15.8	17.8	18.7	17.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	5%	78%	12%	4.6%	100.0%	53.9%	37.5%	33.3%
SEA	4%	75%	17%	3.8%	50.0%	71.2%	44.4%	75.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	14	50%	2	0%	1	100%
Kara Lawson	1	150%	5	70%	1	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	1	0%	10	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Kelsey Griffin	1	150%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Moore	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tan White	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Kalana Greene	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle McCray	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	7	71%	2	50%	2	0%
Sun	3	100%	51	54%	8	37%	3	33%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sue Bird	0	0%	12	62%	1	0%	2	75%
Camille Little	0	0%	4	100%	3	33%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	1	0%	8	81%	1	0%	0	0%
Katie Smith	0	0%	3	133%	1	0%	0	0%
Lecoe Willingham	0	0%	3	133%	0	0%	0	0%
Swin Cash	1	100%	8	31%	3	100%	0	0%
Ewelina Kobryn	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ashley Robinson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	2	50%	40	71%	9	44%	2	75%