WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	101		Excitement	14.2 [1]		MVP	Renee Montgomery (CON): +106.2%
Chicago Sky	107		Comeback	9.9 [24]		LVP	Asjha Jones (CON): -23.8%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renee Montgomery	1.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.84,1.15,1.15,1.15,1.15,1.09,1.06,1.06	0.31	0.77	0.02	17	75%	1.14	2	-0.08	10	70%	-0.03
Kalana Greene	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.02	22	45%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
DeMya Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danielle McCray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tan White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	12	38%	0.05	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Kelsey Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kara Lawson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.04	-0.14	0.05	10	58%	0.02	3	-0.16	6	83%	-0.06
Asjha Jones	-0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	15	30%	-0.17	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.21	0.19	0.03	11	77%	0.47	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.15	0.03	15	62%	0.40	1	-0.08	10	80%	0.05
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.13	-0.04	21	51%	0.37	4	-0.15	5	40%	-0.14
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	12	47%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Michelle Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.25	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Erin Thorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	CHI	WNBA	CON	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.3	100.0	103.9	97.8
season	14.8	14.9		98.5	94.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		94.9	94.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	17.1	13.0	15.4	16.2	15.2
CHI	15.4	16.4	16.2	12.5	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	3%	48%	42%	6.8%	66.7%	42.9%	47.3%	50.0%
CHI	1%	52%	35%	11.7%	100.0%	52.5%	70.4%	44.4%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Renee Montgomery	2	50%	5	60%	7	86%	3	100%
Kalana Greene	0	0%	4	62%	1	150%	0	0%
Tina Charles	1	100%	9	44%	11	36%	1	0%
DeMya Walker	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Moore	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle McCray	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tan White	0	0%	3	50%	9	33%	0	0%
Kelsey Griffin	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kara Lawson	0	0%	4	75%	6	33%	0	0%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	10	30%	3	33%	2	0%
Sun	3	67%	42	43%	37	47%	6	50%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tamera Young	1	100%	5	60%	3	117%	2	50%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	4	50%	10	65%	1	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	9	44%	9	67%	3	33%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	7	29%	4	50%	1	100%
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Michelle Snow	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	2	50%
Erin Thorn	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	100%	40	52%	27	70%	9	44%