WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	87		Excitement	13.8 [2]		MVP	Camille Little (SEA): +49.4%
Seattle Storm	98		Comeback	7.9 [49]		LVP	Swin Cash (SEA): -28.8%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noelle Quinn	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.32,0.32,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.06	0.40	0.00	7	59%	0.53	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.07
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.15	0.17	-0.02	9	71%	0.38	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Candace Parker	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	-0.02	0.15	-0.02	9	50%	0.27	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Vanessa Hayden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Shannon Bobbitt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tina Thompson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	0.01	14	63%	0.22	5	-0.28	7	86%	0.01
Kristi Harrower	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	4	37%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Betty Lennox	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.07	-0.16	0.05	16	53%	0.06	9	-0.34	4	100%	0.08

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Camille Little	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.11	0.36	-0.02	12	63%	0.56	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Lauren Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.18	-0.02	16	53%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tanisha Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.01	8	68%	0.37	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.06	0.05	20	57%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Katie Gearlds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashley Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	31%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.07
Janell Burse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Swin Cash	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.07	-0.19	0.03	21	33%	-0.13	2	-0.15	7	86%	0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	SEA	WNBA	LAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	17.2	17.7	15.1	92.6	103.2	97.9
season	16.3	16.6		96.6	96.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		93.7	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.6	15.0	14.6	21.3	16.5
SEA	15.4	18.3	16.9	18.7	17.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	6%	46%	40%	8.3%	25.0%	51.5%	55.2%	16.7%
SEA	2%	54%	34%	8.9%	150.0%	38.8%	50.0%	43.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	5	60%	1	100%
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0	0%	7	71%	2	50%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	4	0%	4	100%	1	0%
Vanessa Hayden	2	0%	1	100%	4	50%	0	0%
Shannon Bobbitt	0	0%	1	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Tina Thompson	1	100%	8	37%	3	133%	2	0%
Kristi Harrower	0	0%	1	150%	3	0%	0	0%
Betty Lennox	1	0%	10	65%	3	33%	2	0%
Sparks	4	25%	33	52%	29	55%	6	17%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Camille Little	0	0%	5	40%	6	67%	1	100%
Lauren Jackson	0	0%	9	39%	7	64%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	1	100%
Sue Bird	1	150%	6	67%	10	45%	3	50%
Katie Gearlds	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Ashley Robinson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shannon Johnson	0	0%	1	0%	4	37%	1	0%
Janell Burse	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Swin Cash	1	150%	14	18%	4	25%	2	0%
Storm	2	150%	49	39%	31	50%	8	44%