WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	96		Excitement	16.8 [1]		MVP	Janel McCarville (NYL): +77.7%
New York Liberty	102		Comeback	17.6 [15]		LVP	Tully Bevilaqua (IND): -12.7%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ebony Hoffman	0.60	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6	0.24	0.36	0.00	19	67%	0.62	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tamika Catchings	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5	0.03	0.48	-0.00	13	54%	0.72	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02
Tammy Sutton-Brown	0.46	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.46	0.08	0.34	-0.04	13	77%	0.76	7	-0.31	4	75%	0.03
Katie Douglas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1	-0.07	0.14	-0.03	20	39%	0.26	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.05
LaToya Bond	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	60%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bernadette Ngoyisa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tan White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allison Feaster	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	0.00	-0.11	0.00	4	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tully Bevilaqua	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.00	4	40%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Janel McCarville	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.47,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.78	0.78	0.20	0.57	-0.00	22	62%	0.90	2	-0.12	6	83%	-0.15
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.07	0.46	-0.02	8	65%	0.62	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shameka Christon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,-0.03,0.07,0,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.26,0.24	0.24	0.00	0.24	0.01	17	50%	0.62	5	-0.38	12	92%	0.07
Essence Carson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	21	40%	0.22	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.11
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	1	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ashley Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Jackson-Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Lisa Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loree Moore	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	8	67%	0.16	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYL	WNBA	IND	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.2	91.4	96.2	95.2
season	15.7	16.0		91.2	95.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		94.2	91.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	15.1	17.0	15.5	15.3
NYL	19.5	14.2	15.4	15.3	15.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	52%	35%	13.3%	0.0%	48.8%	58.6%	36.4%
NYL	0%	58%	34%	8.2%	0.0%	40.8%	44.8%	71.4%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ebony Hoffman	0	0%	7	71%	10	60%	2	75%
Tamika Catchings	0	0%	8	44%	4	50%	1	150%
Tammy Sutton-Brown	0	0%	7	71%	5	80%	1	100%
Katie Douglas	0	0%	8	19%	8	62%	4	0%
LaToya Bond	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Bernadette Ngoyisa	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tan White	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allison Feaster	0	0%	1	150%	2	0%	1	0%
Tully Bevilaqua	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	2	0%
Fever	0	0%	43	49%	29	59%	11	36%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Janel McCarville	0	0%	11	64%	7	71%	4	25%
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0	0%	4	25%	2	75%	2	125%
Shameka Christon	0	0%	10	30%	6	25%	1	150%
Essence Carson	0	0%	9	33%	12	42%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ashley Battle	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Jackson-Jones	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Lisa Willis	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Loree Moore	0	0%	7	71%	1	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	49	41%	29	45%	7	71%