WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	111		Excitement	16.7 [1]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +76.6%
Houston Comets	110		Comeback	14.2 [10]		LVP	Dawn Staley (HOU): -14.8%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.77	0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.39,0.49,0.72,0.68,0.85,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77	0.41	0.38	0.03	33	64%	0.96	2	-0.19	7	71%	0.06
Kelly Miller	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.28	-0.00	0.28	-0.01	7	50%	0.47	2	-0.19	4	75%	0.06
Cappie Pondexter	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	11	56%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Penny Taylor	0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.2,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.24,0.24,0.24	-0.04	0.29	0.01	22	37%	0.30	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.05
Belinda Snell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.15	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Lacy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Derevjanik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kristen Rasmussen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Comets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michelle Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	-0.10	0.61	-0.00	15	35%	0.61	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Tina Thompson	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.38,0.3,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.14	0.27	0.00	27	56%	0.74	5	-0.33	12	75%	-0.01
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anastasia Kostaki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	0	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Edwina Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Astou Ndiaye-Diatta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sheryl Swoopes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0.03,-0.06,0.16,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	0.11	-0.24	-0.04	23	55%	0.33	4	-0.42	9	78%	-0.11
Roneeka Hodges	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	13	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dawn Staley	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.15	-0.15	0.05	-0.19	0.01	8	55%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	HOU	WNBA	PHO	HOU	WNBA
this game	13.0	17.4	15.3	103.7	100.0	95.4
season	13.6	16.4		105.3	94.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		93.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	12.1	12.3	12.1	13.8	12.9
HOU	15.7	17.7	15.2	17.8	16.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	63%	27%	10.6%	0.0%	47.5%	56.0%	45.0%
HOU	0%	52%	35%	12.8%	0.0%	38.8%	53.0%	41.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	20	72%	10	50%	3	50%
Kelly Miller	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	1	100%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	9	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Penny Taylor	0	0%	10	20%	7	43%	5	40%
Belinda Snell	0	0%	6	58%	3	67%	0	0%
Jennifer Lacy	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Derevjanik	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	1	0%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	59	47%	25	56%	10	45%

Houston Comets
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Michelle Snow	0	0%	8	12%	3	67%	4	50%
Tina Thompson	0	0%	12	37%	13	65%	2	50%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	3	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Anastasia Kostaki	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Edwina Brown	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Astou Ndiaye-Diatta	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sheryl Swoopes	0	0%	10	45%	8	62%	5	40%
Roneeka Hodges	0	0%	9	33%	4	25%	0	0%
Dawn Staley	0	0%	5	80%	2	0%	1	0%
Comets	0	0%	49	39%	33	53%	12	42%