WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	63		Excitement	24.8 [2]		MVP	Ashley Battle (NYL): +106.4%
Detroit Shock	64		Comeback	6.8 [18]		LVP	Becky Hammon (NYL): -29.1%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ashley Battle	1.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,1.06	0.16	0.90	-0.00	14	58%	1.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.17
Barbara Farris	0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.19	0.00	5	81%	0.34	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Sherill Baker	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.08	0.00	11	69%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Iciss Tillis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loree Moore	-0.10	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cathrine Kraayeveld	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	3	33%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Schumacher	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shameka Christon	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	4	0%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Becky Hammon	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	14	24%	-0.11	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Shock
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deanna Nolan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,0.61	0.61	-0.16	0.77	-0.01	11	31%	0.83	5	-0.22	4	50%	-0.04
Swin Cash	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	12	59%	0.21	1	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Ruth Riley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.01	6	43%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Cheryl Ford	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.00	17	35%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Plenette Pierson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	69%	0.17	1	-0.14	3	100%	0.03
Katie Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	41%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Kedra Holland-Corn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Kara Braxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	DET	WNBA	NYL	DET	WNBA
this game	17.8	16.2	15.3	88.7	91.4	95.4
season	16.7	14.6		90.5	95.2
opponent	16.2	14.9		89.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	18.4	16.5	20.1	16.8	17.8
DET	18.0	16.9	16.4	13.9	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	63%	28%	8.3%	0.0%	43.4%	35.3%	50.0%
DET	0%	69%	25%	6.6%	0.0%	34.5%	40.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ashley Battle	0	0%	7	57%	6	33%	1	150%
Barbara Farris	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	1	100%
Sherill Baker	0	0%	9	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Iciss Tillis	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Loree Moore	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	1	0%
Kelly Schumacher	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shameka Christon	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	1	0%
Becky Hammon	0	0%	8	12%	5	40%	1	0%
Liberty	0	0%	38	43%	17	35%	5	50%

Detroit Shock
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Deanna Nolan	0	0%	8	12%	2	50%	1	100%
Swin Cash	0	0%	10	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Ruth Riley	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Cheryl Ford	0	0%	10	30%	4	50%	3	33%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	1	100%	4	50%	0	0%
Katie Smith	0	0%	7	36%	2	0%	0	0%
Kedra Holland-Corn	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kara Braxton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shock	0	0%	42	35%	15	40%	4	50%