WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	68		Excitement	189.9 [2]		MVP	Dawn Staley (CHA): +102.9%
Charlotte Sting	69		Comeback	50.3 [5]		LVP	Andrea Stinson (CHA): -41.9%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Katie Douglas	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.42	0.05	0.36	-0.01	11	43%	0.42	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nykesha Sales	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.19	0.23	-0.04	0.01	12	72%	0.36	4	-0.17	16	81%	0.05
Jessie Hicks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Wendy Palmer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Debbie Black	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brooke Wyckoff	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07
Adrienne Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	9	40%	-0.12	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Sting
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dawn Staley	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,1.03	1.03	0.08	0.94	-0.01	7	79%	1.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shalonda Enis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.2,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	0.01	5	78%	0.32	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Allison Feaster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	7	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.02	6	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tynesha Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	3	78%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rushia Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marla Brumfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tammy Sutton-Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	0.04	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Teana Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Charlotte Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Stinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.42	-0.42	-0.01	-0.38	0.03	14	56%	-0.20	6	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	CHA	WNBA	CON	CHA	WNBA
this game	17.1	18.8	16.8	98.6	106.2	94.7
season	16.3	19.2		95.9	97.5
opponent	16.9	17.0		96.8	97.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.2	16.6	21.1	16.2	17.1
CHA	18.8	19.4	20.3	16.9	18.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	80%	14%	6.8%	0.0%	54.3%	33.3%	50.0%
CHA	0%	85%	11%	3.8%	0.0%	48.9%	75.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Katie Douglas	0	0%	10	30%	0	0%	1	150%
Nykesha Sales	0	0%	9	78%	2	50%	1	0%
Jessie Hicks	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Wendy Palmer	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Debbie Black	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brooke Wyckoff	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Adrienne Johnson	0	0%	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%
Shannon Johnson	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0	0%	7	50%	1	0%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	35	54%	6	33%	3	50%

Charlotte Sting
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dawn Staley	0	0%	5	90%	1	0%	1	100%
Shalonda Enis	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Allison Feaster	0	0%	6	33%	1	150%	0	0%
Kelly Miller	0	0%	5	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Tynesha Lewis	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Rushia Brown	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marla Brumfield	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tammy Sutton-Brown	0	0%	5	20%	1	100%	0	0%
Teana Miller	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Charlotte Smith	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Andrea Stinson	0	0%	11	59%	2	50%	1	0%
Sting	0	0%	45	49%	6	75%	2	50%