WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	92		Excitement	55.9 [3]		MVP	Tamika Catchings (IND): +115.3%
Washington Mystics	91		Comeback	20.1 [11]		LVP	Nikki McCray (IND): -10.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamika Catchings	1.15	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.3,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,1.15	0.23	0.94	0.01	21	61%	1.21	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.14
Natalie Williams	0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.35,0.35	0.20	0.17	0.02	12	70%	0.39	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Stephanie White	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	6	67%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coquese Washington	0.20	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.03	-0.02	11	82%	0.26	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Pettis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonja Henning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristen Rasmussen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Schumacher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nikki McCray	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.01	8	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chamique Holdsclaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.97	0.97	0.18	0.77	-0.01	18	60%	0.98	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.07
Stacey Dales	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.01	-0.00	5	86%	0.25	1	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Coco Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Asjha Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	18	50%	0.29	4	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Jocelyn Penn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Annie Burgess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	78%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Aiysha Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	0	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Murriel Page	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	WNBA	IND	WAS	WNBA
this game	18.6	16.5	16.8	121.1	116.7	94.7
season	18.0	16.4		98.2	94.2
opponent	16.9	16.8		100.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	18.5	20.5	17.1	18.6
WAS	19.5	16.1	13.0	18.0	16.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	61%	30%	8.6%	0.0%	67.4%	38.1%	41.7%
WAS	0%	81%	15%	4.8%	0.0%	53.0%	55.6%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tamika Catchings	0	0%	14	64%	4	37%	3	33%
Natalie Williams	0	0%	4	100%	7	57%	1	0%
Stephanie White	0	0%	2	50%	3	50%	1	150%
Coquese Washington	0	0%	10	90%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Pettis	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sonja Henning	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	6	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Kelly Schumacher	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Nikki McCray	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	1	0%
Fever	0	0%	43	67%	21	38%	6	42%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chamique Holdsclaw	0	0%	16	44%	1	100%	1	100%
Stacey Dales	0	0%	4	87%	1	100%	0	0%
Coco Miller	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	12	42%	4	50%	2	50%
Jocelyn Penn	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Annie Burgess	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Aiysha Smith	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Murriel Page	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	50	53%	9	56%	3	67%