WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	77		Excitement	13.0 [1]		MVP	Plenette Pierson (PHO): +78.2%
Los Angeles Sparks	80		Comeback	14.5 [14]		LVP	Anna DeForge (PHO): -69.9%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Plenette Pierson	0.78	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.78	0.22	0.56	-0.01	17	65%	0.84	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Adrian Williams-Strong	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	17	42%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.08
Lisa Harrison	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kayte Christensen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Slobodanka Tuvic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edniesha Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamicha Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Iziane Castro Marques	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Edwina Brown	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	9	22%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anna DeForge	-0.70	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.49,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.64,-0.64,-0.7	-0.21	-0.49	-0.00	24	27%	-0.50	5	-0.20	1	0%	-0.25

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhonda Mapp	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.24,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.63	0.63	0.10	0.53	0.00	8	75%	0.66	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicky McCrimmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	4	75%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Gillom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	4	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mwadi Mabika	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.04,-0.05,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.17,-0.25,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	28	42%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.12
Sophia Witherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamecka Dixon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	-0.00	15	50%	0.01	5	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
Nikki Teasley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	7	59%	0.20	9	-0.39	3	67%	0.02
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LAS	WNBA	PHO	LAS	WNBA
this game	16.5	14.5	16.8	80.2	81.6	94.7
season	17.7	15.5		85.3	97.6
opponent	16.9	16.0		94.4	92.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	16.9	14.8	18.2	16.3	16.8
LAS	14.8	11.8	15.8	14.6	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	1%	58%	35%	5.4%	100.0%	35.2%	42.4%	20.0%
LAS	0%	59%	30%	10.5%	0.0%	42.2%	43.5%	37.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	9	56%	8	75%	0	0%
Adrian Williams-Strong	0	0%	9	56%	5	20%	3	33%
Lisa Harrison	0	0%	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Kayte Christensen	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Slobodanka Tuvic	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Edniesha Curry	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stacey Thomas	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Tamicha Jackson	0	0%	6	58%	2	50%	0	0%
Iziane Castro Marques	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Edwina Brown	0	0%	4	0%	5	40%	0	0%
Anna DeForge	1	100%	13	19%	9	33%	1	0%
Mercury	1	100%	54	35%	33	42%	5	20%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhonda Mapp	0	0%	3	33%	4	100%	1	100%
Nicky McCrimmon	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	1	100%
Jennifer Gillom	0	0%	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%
Mwadi Mabika	0	0%	13	38%	11	45%	4	0%
Sophia Witherspoon	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamecka Dixon	0	0%	11	55%	3	0%	1	0%
Nikki Teasley	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0	0%	5	20%	2	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	45	42%	23	43%	8	37%