WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	94		Excitement	33.0 [4]		MVP	Katie Douglas (CON): +84.4%
Connecticut Sun	90		Comeback	4.9 [46]		LVP	Nykesha Sales (CON): -11.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristen Rasmussen	0.53	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.51,0.53	0.12	0.41	-0.00	10	68%	0.58	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tamika Catchings	0.47	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.47	0.06	0.39	-0.02	21	51%	0.67	5	-0.19	7	71%	0.02
Coretta Brown	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.30	0.09	-0.00	12	87%	0.41	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Niele Ivey	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.00	0.34	-0.00	4	37%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.02
Stephanie White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03	0.01	-0.06	-0.03	8	55%	0.09	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Kelly Schumacher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sonja Henning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikki McCray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Katie Douglas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.84	0.84	0.21	0.64	-0.00	18	64%	0.92	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.23
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.54	0.54	0.05	0.45	-0.03	16	50%	0.67	2	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
Shannon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.05
Courtney Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Wendy Palmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Lobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brooke Wyckoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Adrienne Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nykesha Sales	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CON	WNBA	IND	CON	WNBA
this game	18.2	16.2	16.8	106.8	104.7	94.7
season	18.0	16.3		98.2	95.9
opponent	17.0	16.8		97.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	16.8	21.1	19.5	18.1
CON	15.8	15.8	18.9	14.6	16.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	60%	30%	10.4%	0.0%	60.0%	42.5%	64.3%
CON	4%	62%	29%	5.1%	66.7%	47.9%	32.6%	87.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	6	50%	3	83%	1	100%
Tamika Catchings	0	0%	8	50%	10	40%	3	67%
Coretta Brown	0	0%	9	106%	3	33%	0	0%
Niele Ivey	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	1	150%
Natalie Williams	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Stephanie White	0	0%	7	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelly Schumacher	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	1	0%
Sonja Henning	0	0%	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Nikki McCray	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	40	60%	20	42%	7	64%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Katie Douglas	0	0%	13	62%	3	50%	2	125%
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0	0%	9	22%	6	50%	1	100%
Shannon Johnson	3	67%	6	83%	6	33%	1	0%
Courtney Coleman	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Wendy Palmer	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Lobo	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brooke Wyckoff	0	0%	5	70%	4	25%	0	0%
Adrienne Johnson	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Nykesha Sales	0	0%	7	43%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	3	67%	48	48%	23	33%	4	87%