NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	3.9 [1007]		MVP	Georges Niang (CLE): +12.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	95		Comeback	1.1 [374]		LVP	Naji Marshall (NOP): -9.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georges Niang	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.23	0.01	0.11	16	82%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Damian Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	8	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.08	10	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Mobley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.02	0.09	21	65%	0.13	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Ryan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	7	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	24.6	14.4	24.3	1.8	25.2	117.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +50.9%

NOP -12.7%

CLE +0.7%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOP	NBA	CLE	NOP	NBA
this game	15.8	13.4	14.5	117.2	96.9	113.9
season	14.7	14.4		113.0	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.7		111.0	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	17.0	15.1	17.9	15.8
NOP	13.8	13.0	14.3	12.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	57	57	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.31	30	-9	39	14.5	17.5	-3.03	14.7	11.8	2.91
Caris LeVert	62	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-6	33	14.8	17.5	-2.69	14.1	12.3	1.81
Darius Garland	70	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.23	23	-2	25	15.3	16.9	-1.58	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Georges Niang	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	10	1	15.5	16.1	-0.58	13.2	13.8	-0.66
Damian Jones	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	6	9	14.6	16.8	-2.20	13.8	13.1	0.67
Isaac Okoro	66	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	16	-11	16.3	14.8	1.53	13.4	13.6	-0.21
Jarrett Allen	64	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	17	-13	17.0	13.6	3.37	13.1	14.0	-0.86
Craig Porter Jr.	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	19.3	15.5	3.77	11.7	13.6	-1.87
Isaiah Mobley	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	19.3	15.5	3.77	11.7	13.6	-1.87
Donovan Mitchell	58	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	27	-33	17.1	13.9	3.20	12.5	14.7	-2.17

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	51	53	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-25	29	12.3	14.7	-2.45	17.9	13.4	4.50
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	12.1	13.6	-1.47	17.8	15.6	2.20
Matt Ryan	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	12.1	13.6	-1.47	17.8	15.6	2.20
Jordan Hawkins	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	12.1	13.6	-1.47	17.8	15.6	2.20
CJ McCollum	59	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-27	33	13.1	14.0	-0.87	16.4	14.8	1.62
Brandon Ingram	66	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-22	23	13.1	14.2	-1.14	16.1	15.1	0.96
Jonas Valanciunas	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-11	1	15.3	12.6	2.67	13.5	16.8	-3.22
Larry Nance Jr.	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-6	-9	13.4	13.5	-0.11	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Zion Williamson	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	1	-23	13.4	13.5	-0.04	15.9	15.5	0.41
Jose Alvarado	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	6	-33	14.0	13.1	0.87	14.8	16.4	-1.62
Trey Murphy III	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	3	-27	13.7	13.1	0.52	15.3	16.4	-1.05
Naji Marshall	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.27	-27	6	-33	14.5	12.2	2.31	14.2	17.6	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 113, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAL 106, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%