NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	85		Excitement	4.0 [623]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +9.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	63		Comeback	2.1 [198]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -17.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	66%	0.11	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	7	31%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
David Robinson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	7	-0.17	10	90%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	8	31%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	69%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.03	-0.11	12	8%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	40%	-0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.03	-0.04	5	28%	-0.10	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.6	2.0	30.0	18.5	27.5	2.6	34.0	150.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.3%

SAS +5.5%

SAS +0.5%

POR -1.4%

POR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.8	97.7	73.3	99.6
season	15.9	16.0		101.1	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		96.2	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.7	16.7	15.8	19.9	16.4
POR	16.3	15.3	20.2	16.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	62	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.34	33	-11	44	16.0	17.4	-1.43	18.4	13.2	5.20
Sean Elliott	54	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	2	18	16.7	15.9	0.76	17.5	15.9	1.64
Mario Elie	49	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	8	6	16.0	16.8	-0.82	18.4	15.0	3.41
Avery Johnson	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.34	23	-1	24	16.3	16.5	-0.19	18.7	13.5	5.25
Will Perdue	38	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	13	-4	16.3	16.4	-0.16	17.3	16.7	0.62
Jaren Jackson	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.25	16	6	10	16.6	16.0	0.59	15.3	19.3	-4.04
Steve Kerr	25	24	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.07	3	19	-16	16.0	16.5	-0.59	13.8	18.1	-4.28
Malik Rose	33	30	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	17	-12	16.0	16.6	-0.56	13.4	18.8	-5.40
Antonio Daniels	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	18.4	16.2	2.23	12.2	17.3	-5.11
Gerard King	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	19.0	16.1	2.89	11.3	17.4	-6.13
Tim Duncan	33	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	21	-20	17.0	16.0	0.95	18.1	16.1	2.00
Jerome Kersey	19	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	28	-34	15.8	16.5	-0.69	15.7	17.2	-1.51

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-17	12	13.1	17.7	-4.51	13.9	16.8	-2.92
Kelvin Cato	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-16	10	17.2	16.9	0.27	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Damon Stoudamire	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-16	10	17.3	16.3	0.97	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Jim Jackson	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.18	-12	-10	-2	15.5	18.0	-2.49	17.6	15.5	2.11
Arvydas Sabonis	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-13	4	17.6	15.8	1.76	15.4	18.1	-2.71
Stacey Augmon	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-12	2	19.6	15.9	3.70	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Isaiah Rider	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-10	-2	16.9	17.0	-0.17	15.4	19.7	-4.31
Walt Williams	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-7	-8	15.6	17.5	-1.93	15.0	17.0	-2.02
Rasheed Wallace	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-15	8	16.8	17.1	-0.24	18.9	13.0	5.88
Greg Anthony	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-6	-10	16.3	17.3	-0.97	17.1	15.9	1.21
Brian Grant	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-10	-2	17.6	14.3	3.34	17.1	13.6	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 130, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 89, LAC 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
LAL 110, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%