NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	4.0 [977]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +6.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	68		Comeback	1.9 [310]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	65%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	13	57%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	13	68%	0.10	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	17	35%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	6	7%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	12	46%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	56.8	1.7	28.2	17.4	27.4	2.4	32.5	166.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.7%

LAL +8.2%

LAL +4.1%

SEA -0.6%

SEA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	17.3	17.8	15.6	112.2	82.9	102.5
season	14.8	15.3		110.0	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.6		102.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.5	18.3	22.4	16.5	17.3
SEA	17.2	20.6	16.7	17.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	5	14	18.7	14.0	4.61	18.1	17.1	0.99
Elden Campbell	31	32	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	6	12	18.9	16.4	2.52	18.9	17.1	1.84
Robert Horry	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	7	10	17.9	15.9	2.02	18.4	16.5	1.87
Eddie Jones	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	7	10	15.8	24.4	-8.59	17.9	17.2	0.73
Derek Fisher	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	9	6	18.3	14.8	3.49	17.4	18.8	-1.36
Nick Van Exel	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	8	8	18.4	16.4	1.98	18.2	17.5	0.74
Rick Fox	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	19	-14	15.3	19.9	-4.66	18.4	17.1	1.24
Corie Blount	27	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.21	9	15	-6	18.8	16.6	2.20	17.0	18.2	-1.27
Jon Barry	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	13.2	17.7	-4.49	15.6	18.0	-2.46
Mario Bennett	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.5	17.8	-4.33	13.9	18.3	-4.41
Sean Rooks	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.5	17.8	-4.33	13.9	18.3	-4.41

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	15.3	18.0	-2.68	12.0	17.7	-5.72
David Wingate	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	13.9	18.3	-4.41	13.5	17.8	-4.33
Greg Anthony	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-22	20	15.4	18.5	-3.04	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Jim McIlvaine	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-20	16	18.3	17.6	0.66	15.7	18.1	-2.42
Nate McMillan	13	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-12	0	20.1	17.4	2.69	20.5	16.6	3.95
Jerome Kersey	34	33	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-12	0	16.7	18.6	-1.95	18.4	16.6	1.77
Dale Ellis	27	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-12	0	18.0	17.7	0.27	21.3	15.5	5.80
Hersey Hawkins	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-14	4	17.6	18.2	-0.66	15.9	19.9	-3.98
Detlef Schrempf	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-6	-12	19.1	14.0	5.07	16.5	19.6	-3.11
Sam Perkins	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-12	0	17.7	17.9	-0.17	18.1	16.7	1.39
Gary Payton	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-5	-14	18.2	16.2	1.95	17.6	16.2	1.42
Vin Baker	59	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-7	-10	17.8	18.0	-0.19	17.8	16.2	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
ORL 100, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MEM 100, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.9%