NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	4.3 [921]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +12.1%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.1 [799]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -15.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	15	70%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	18	48%	0.00	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	6	77%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	14	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	17	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	19	58%	0.01	5	-0.07	17	82%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.22	-0.00	-0.07	10	14%	-0.09	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	31.0	18.8	29.1	2.5	40.1	151.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.3%

CHI +6.2%

CHI +15.7%

CHI +9.7%

CHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.6	100.0	106.7	102.5
season	15.6	16.2		104.9	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		97.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.8	16.0	16.5	14.7	16.3
CHI	12.2	18.3	14.8	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-4	3	0.0	16.5	-16.47	5.0	15.7	-10.65
Sam Cassell	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	13.7	16.7	-3.02	16.5	15.4	1.17
Lucious Harris	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	0	-5	14.9	17.2	-2.36	13.5	16.8	-3.35
Rony Seikaly	33	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-5	5	16.7	16.1	0.65	16.8	14.8	1.94
Kendall Gill	56	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-9	13	16.9	15.3	1.63	15.8	15.1	0.69
Keith Van Horn	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-6	7	16.4	16.1	0.32	16.0	14.9	1.07
Jayson Williams	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	16.1	16.8	-0.70	16.5	12.6	3.83
Chris Gatling	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	11	-27	16.8	16.0	0.81	13.3	16.7	-3.37
Sherman Douglas	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	16.2	17.0	-0.77	15.1	20.2	-5.18
Kerry Kittles	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	16.8	12.4	4.46	16.0	12.5	3.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	74	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	15.5	15.8	-0.34	16.7	13.9	2.79
Steve Kerr	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	17.6	13.3	4.23	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Michael Jordan	75	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	14.3	21.5	-7.20	16.2	16.5	-0.30
Toni Kukoc	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	16.5	14.0	2.46	16.7	15.6	1.16
Scott Burrell	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-4	13	16.0	15.2	0.87	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Dennis Rodman	76	74	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	6	-7	16.2	11.6	4.61	17.7	10.3	7.37
Bill Wennington	27	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	4	-3	15.4	15.6	-0.23	15.1	16.8	-1.68
Dickey Simpkins	17	18	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-2	9	13.4	16.0	-2.69	14.6	16.7	-2.16
Ron Harper	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	5	-5	15.0	15.9	-0.92	17.1	15.7	1.41
Jud Buechler	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	7	-9	2.4	16.3	-13.91	5.4	16.9	-11.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 88, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
UTA 96, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 104, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%