NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	8.9 [130]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +37.7%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	8.8 [182]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -14.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.03	0.10	8	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Henry James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	0.11	0.13	13	51%	0.04	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.11
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.09	0.03	12	58%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.01	0.07	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.07,0.07,-0.11	0.05	-0.16	0.00	25	56%	0.00	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.38	0.38	0.11	0.25	-0.02	24	57%	0.38	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.07,0.01,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.15	-0.02	25	57%	0.08	3	-0.19	10	70%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	5	44%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	597.2	1.7	-689.8	15.6	30.0	2.7	39.6	-2.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +58.4%

ATL -23.4%

ATL -8.6%

CHI +24.3%

ATL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.6	15.6	109.0	113.6	104.4
season	16.4	15.5		105.3	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.0		99.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.4	16.1	18.6	15.7	16.9
CHI	14.7	14.5	14.8	18.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	35	34	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.21	7	-10	17	16.6	17.1	-0.55	16.0	15.4	0.65
Darrin Hancock	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	16.4	17.0	-0.54	18.6	15.3	3.29
Eldridge Recasner	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-1	-1	16.7	17.0	-0.30	16.4	15.4	1.00
Henry James	11	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-2	1	15.2	17.2	-2.00	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Tyrone Corbin	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	1	-5	16.9	17.0	-0.08	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Steven Smith	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	17.2	15.2	2.04	15.1	18.9	-3.84
Mookie Blaylock	85	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	16.7	21.2	-4.52	15.9	10.4	5.52
Christian Laettner	72	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	0	-3	17.0	16.8	0.21	15.9	14.4	1.46
Dikembe Mutombo	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.48	-8	5	-13	17.4	15.2	2.17	15.1	17.7	-2.60

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	82	82	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-6	15	15.4	18.8	-3.47	16.9	17.1	-0.23
Toni Kukoc	46	47	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.48	7	-4	11	15.7	15.5	0.24	17.9	15.9	2.04
Ron Harper	47	46	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-3	9	15.6	15.6	0.08	17.8	16.0	1.71
Scottie Pippen	77	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	15.5	16.3	-0.77	16.7	18.8	-2.05
Luc Longley	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.37	17.7	14.9	2.76
Jud Buechler	3	3	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	0	3	13.0	15.7	-2.69	8.7	17.2	-8.55
Steve Kerr	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	2	-1	16.2	15.3	0.90	14.2	18.3	-4.12
Dennis Rodman	41	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	8	-13	15.8	15.5	0.29	16.8	17.1	-0.28
Bison Dele	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	3	-3	15.8	15.5	0.23	15.9	17.3	-1.42
Randy Brown	14	14	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.03	-6	9	-15	17.4	15.3	2.09	18.6	16.6	2.03
Jason Caffey	15	15	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.16	-6	9	-15	14.4	15.8	-1.45	16.9	16.9	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.55,0.29,0.55,0.58,1	89.1%
HOU 80, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.28,0.34,0.58,1	88.8%
ATL 85, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.85,1	88.6%