NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	111		Excitement	4.6 [839]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +17.0%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	1.7 [972]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -7.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	23	66%	0.22	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	8	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	9	78%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.02	-0.09	19	37%	0.05	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	9	24%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.05	0.04	28	59%	0.20	5	-0.09	8	50%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	64%	0.07	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Reaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonius Cleveland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	15	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.4	25.5	15.3	34.3	2.0	26.0	136.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.7%

LAC +3.2%

LAC +12.4%

DAL -5.8%

LAC +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.2	113.3	97.0	109.6
season	13.8	14.5		113.2	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.4		111.3	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	14.5	15.2	18.9	15.1
DAL	13.1	14.9	13.7	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	66	67	0.85	-0.35	1.20	-0.12	33	-19	52	15.3	14.6	0.79	14.3	13.5	0.83
Paul George	80	82	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.04	22	-8	30	15.6	12.9	2.63	14.3	12.7	1.64
Landry Shamet	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-7	28	14.9	15.8	-0.91	14.3	13.1	1.12
Kawhi Leonard	82	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	14.9	16.2	-1.38	14.0	14.1	-0.15
JaMychal Green	30	31	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	-6	26	14.5	15.4	-0.90	14.9	13.6	1.34
Reggie Jackson	54	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	19	-24	15.9	14.2	1.69	13.6	14.5	-0.96
Rodney McGruder	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	18.0	15.0	3.00	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Amir Coffey	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	18.0	15.0	3.00	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Terance Mann	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	18.0	15.0	3.00	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	14	-14	13.0	15.8	-2.75	13.4	14.2	-0.87
Lou Williams	35	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.21	-15	29	-44	15.0	15.1	-0.10	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Montrezl Harrell	32	33	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.21	-19	33	-52	14.6	15.3	-0.79	13.5	14.3	-0.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	35	33	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.27	16	-30	46	13.5	14.3	-0.85	16.2	14.5	1.73
Josh Reaves	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	14.0	14.0	-0.01	18.0	15.0	3.00
Antonius Cleveland	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	14.0	14.0	-0.01	18.0	15.0	3.00
Justin Jackson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	14.0	14.0	-0.01	18.0	15.0	3.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-9	4	16.4	13.7	2.64	15.4	15.0	0.37
Seth Curry	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-15	16	14.1	13.9	0.26	15.6	14.4	1.21
Luka Doncic	89	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-5	-4	13.7	16.4	-2.64	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Dorian Finney-Smith	80	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	0	-14	13.6	15.5	-1.92	14.6	17.2	-2.65
Trey Burke	74	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-8	2	14.1	13.8	0.27	15.4	14.3	1.09
Tim Hardaway Jr.	70	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.32	-31	17	-48	14.2	13.5	0.68	14.1	17.6	-3.49
Maxi Kleber	74	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.04	-25	11	-36	14.3	13.1	1.26	15.1	15.1	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MEM 103, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
TOR 106, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%