inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 102 Excitement4.7 [911] MVPKhris Middleton (MIL): +27.7%
Toronto Raptors 120 Comeback1.5 [476] LVPMalcolm Brogdon (MIL): -11.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.260.050.031586%0.2800.00580%0.01
George Hill0.050,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00283%0.0500.002100%0.01
Brook Lopez0.040,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.01580%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00558%0.001-0.00250%-0.01
Sterling Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Snell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
D.J. Wilson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00437%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Eric Bledsoe-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00731%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.030.031757%0.024-0.081060%-0.04
Nikola Mirotic-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.001050%0.014-0.09250%-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.001117%-0.1200.0010%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.021171%0.1200.002100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.180.020.091178%0.121-0.0110100%0.05
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.12-0.000.046108%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.030.02-0.071846%0.113-0.04367%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.000.041263%0.081-0.043100%0.01
Pascal Siakam0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.01654%0.052-0.041100%0.00
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malcolm Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Moreland00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.041356%0.052-0.05875%-0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.632.416.630.32.729.3142.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +15.4%
TOR +20.9%
TOR +9.2%
TOR +2.5%
TOR +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game14.016.014.3106.2125.0109.3
season13.514.3112.4111.5
opponent14.514.3105.9104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.813.116.112.314.0
TOR15.215.216.617.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sterling Brown890.00-0.500.50-0.031-19208.714.5-5.7516.315.90.39
Tony Snell770.00-0.500.50-0.093-21248.414.5-6.0316.116.00.18
Tim Frazier770.00-0.500.50-0.093-21248.414.5-6.0316.116.00.18
D.J. Wilson890.00-0.500.50-0.031-19208.714.5-5.7516.315.90.39
Ersan Ilyasova3536-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-181813.914.1-0.2116.915.41.41
Brook Lopez4848-0.11-0.390.29-0.131-192014.014.1-0.0816.415.50.92
Eric Bledsoe4143-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-10214.213.90.2616.215.80.37
Nikola Mirotic4948-0.26-0.24-0.010.10-12-6-614.813.21.5414.717.2-2.54
Pat Connaughton2827-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-2-1413.714.2-0.4815.116.3-1.26
Malcolm Brogdon5154-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-8-214.213.90.2916.914.72.21
Giannis Antetokounmpo6868-0.38-0.12-0.260.18-191-2014.812.22.6015.816.4-0.58
George Hill5654-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-17-1-1614.313.60.6815.416.7-1.22
Khris Middleton7470-0.44-0.06-0.380.06-17-1-1614.911.23.6216.015.90.13

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell62630.63-0.130.75-0.2229-114016.614.91.6514.712.72.06
Serge Ibaka48480.57-0.070.65-0.1324-63015.516.5-0.9614.413.70.71
Fred VanVleet50500.470.030.43-0.2725-73215.916.1-0.2514.313.70.54
Kawhi Leonard66690.400.100.29-0.071621415.716.7-1.0014.413.11.21
Danny Green51520.230.27-0.03-0.06108215.017.0-2.0114.513.51.05
Kyle Lowry68670.180.32-0.130.04513-815.916.1-0.1814.213.70.52
Marc Gasol61600.020.48-0.47-0.04216-1416.415.21.2714.413.40.97
Pascal Siakam43440.010.49-0.48-0.05216-1416.715.41.3014.913.21.68
Chris Boucher650.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.216.00.206.214.5-8.25
Malcolm Miller650.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.216.00.206.214.5-8.25
Jodie Meeks770.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.116.00.188.414.5-6.03
Jeremy Lin650.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.216.00.206.214.5-8.25
Eric Moreland650.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.216.00.206.214.5-8.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 94, MIA 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
UTA 97, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CLE 95, HOU 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%