NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.6 [925]		MVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): +28.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	120		Comeback	2.0 [779]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): -8.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.22	-0.00	0.08	23	71%	0.16	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.04	28	60%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.24	0.05	0.01	9	110%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.02	0.05	27	69%	0.21	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	18	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Montero	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	34.5	16.5	29.3	3.4	32.3	146.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.5%

POR +19.1%

POR +7.9%

POR +4.8%

POR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	16.0	14.9	111.3	125.0	105.1
season	13.7	15.0		112.3	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.1		106.7	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.7	15.1	14.7	13.0	13.9
POR	18.1	13.7	15.9	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Michael McAdoo	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	13.0	13.9	-0.87	21.0	15.9	5.11
Marreese Speights	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-9	6	13.2	13.9	-0.73	15.0	16.1	-1.12
Andrew Bogut	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-10	8	14.5	13.7	0.82	17.3	15.6	1.65
Brandon Rush	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	13.9	13.9	-0.01	16.6	15.7	0.91
Festus Ezeli	10	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-6	0	13.2	13.9	-0.73	16.5	15.9	0.57
Andre Iguodala	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-9	6	14.7	12.6	2.06	15.5	16.8	-1.36
Leandro Barbosa	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-6	0	13.6	14.0	-0.34	16.0	16.0	0.04
Shaun Livingston	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-7	2	13.3	14.5	-1.18	16.3	15.6	0.76
Draymond Green	83	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-10	8	13.9	13.4	0.50	16.1	15.7	0.40
Klay Thompson	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-9	6	13.4	15.5	-2.08	16.1	15.7	0.33
Harrison Barnes	69	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	2	-16	13.7	14.4	-0.70	16.5	14.9	1.63
Ian Clark	36	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	8	-28	14.7	13.4	1.29	13.6	17.4	-3.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	61	61	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.12	25	-13	38	14.8	18.0	-3.19	14.1	13.4	0.65
CJ McCollum	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-3	18	16.1	15.4	0.72	13.9	13.4	0.55
Al-Farouq Aminu	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	3	6	16.1	15.1	1.07	14.0	13.0	0.99
Ed Davis	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	5	2	15.9	16.2	-0.35	14.3	13.2	1.06
Damian Lillard	83	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	5	2	16.2	14.8	1.42	14.0	13.2	0.72
Mason Plumlee	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	7	-2	16.0	16.0	0.04	13.2	14.3	-1.12
Maurice Harkless	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	11	-10	15.9	16.0	-0.17	11.7	14.2	-2.50
Brian Roberts	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	10	-8	15.8	16.0	-0.22	13.4	13.9	-0.55
Gerald Henderson	46	46	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	17	-22	16.6	15.5	1.09	13.7	14.0	-0.26
Noah Vonleh	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	23.0	15.9	7.07	15.0	13.8	1.16
Pat Connaughton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	23.0	15.9	7.07	15.0	13.8	1.16
Luis Montero	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	23.0	15.9	7.07	15.0	13.8	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, MEM 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 102, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
LAL 117, ORL 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%