inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 80 Excitement4.0 [1050] MVPFrank Kaminsky (CHA): +12.3%
Charlotte Hornets 96 Comeback1.7 [850] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -11.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorell Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Gerald Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Briante Weber0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.010,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.010.041268%0.084-0.09450%-0.00
Goran Dragic-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.041337%-0.021-0.01475%0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.052040%-0.032-0.003100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.020.05657%-0.011-0.031164%-0.01
Josh Richardson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04517%-0.041-0.0020%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.06-0.031132%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.03722%-0.082-0.03450%-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.04-0.031252%0.1200.005100%0.03
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.02967%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.011651%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.02-0.061133%0.021-0.002100%0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jorge Gutierrez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Harrison00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03860%0.032-0.054100%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.021145%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.031937%-0.0500.008100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.531.417.729.33.431.3142.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +28.3%
CHA +12.0%
MIA -12.7%
CHA +23.2%
MIA -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game15.016.014.986.0103.2105.1
season15.515.1104.5105.5
opponent14.815.1103.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.515.016.012.615.0
CHA14.817.814.616.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade63610.04-0.540.59-0.012-182015.414.01.4316.614.81.81
Dorell Wright550.00-0.500.50-0.155-21269.415.3-5.8820.615.74.86
Gerald Green550.00-0.500.50-0.155-21269.415.3-5.8820.615.74.86
Josh McRoberts550.00-0.500.50-0.155-21269.415.3-5.8820.615.74.86
Briante Weber880.00-0.500.50-0.124-20249.515.5-5.9819.115.73.42
Amar'e Stoudemire2020-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-9212.715.6-2.8313.416.7-3.25
Luol Deng7069-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-2-1215.214.30.9415.717.0-1.35
Hassan Whiteside6364-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.12-7-9216.012.93.1016.515.01.50
Goran Dragic5556-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.09-10-6-414.815.2-0.4115.916.1-0.13
Joe Johnson6667-0.42-0.08-0.330.02-15-1-1416.012.53.5015.916.2-0.21
Justise Winslow4848-0.48-0.02-0.450.29-2610-3615.314.60.7614.917.1-2.20
Josh Richardson5757-0.520.02-0.530.13-226-2814.815.3-0.5515.516.8-1.31

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Frank Kaminsky66630.470.030.450.001601616.714.32.3515.813.22.66
Kemba Walker69670.410.090.330.031331016.315.21.0115.912.73.21
Jeremy Lin52530.410.090.31-0.0917-11814.218.3-4.0615.014.90.16
Courtney Lee82810.390.110.28-0.1117-11816.214.51.6515.213.21.97
Cody Zeller55560.380.120.25-0.1518-22014.318.4-4.0514.216.2-1.98
Marvin Williams70700.270.230.030.0679-216.315.11.1614.516.4-1.89
Al Jefferson36340.120.38-0.250.15-117-1818.214.63.5416.813.92.93
Spencer Hawes25260.050.45-0.40-0.04313-1013.716.9-3.1713.815.4-1.61
Troy Daniels230.000.50-0.500.06-218-2022.515.96.648.715.2-6.51
Jorge Gutierrez230.000.50-0.500.06-218-2022.515.96.648.715.2-6.51
Aaron Harrison230.000.50-0.500.06-218-2022.515.96.648.715.2-6.51
Jeremy Lamb230.000.50-0.500.06-218-2022.515.96.648.715.2-6.51
Tyler Hansbrough230.000.50-0.500.06-218-2022.515.96.648.715.2-6.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 97, BKN 1220.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
MIN 71, MEM 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
LAC 89, IND 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.5%