NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	3.1 [1166]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +10.8%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.2 [1239]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -8.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	14	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	-0.01	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.07	-0.02	0.13	23	62%	0.00	5	-0.08	10	90%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.00	25	60%	0.13	3	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	17	49%	0.08	5	-0.05	9	67%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	0	100%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.01	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	31.0	16.8	29.2	3.0	51.2	159.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.8%

GSW +1.2%

GSW +10.2%

GSW +6.8%

GSW +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	15.1	98.0	105.0	104.2
season	15.8	13.6		106.3	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.2	14.8	14.0	12.8	14.4
GSW	14.4	14.6	13.2	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-16	25	14.2	14.5	-0.21	15.0	13.7	1.24
Alexis Ajinca	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-10	13	11.9	14.6	-2.74	15.5	14.0	1.50
Norris Cole	71	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.47	12	-19	31	13.6	16.4	-2.80	14.7	12.7	1.99
Ryan Anderson	47	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-8	9	12.9	15.7	-2.85	13.4	14.7	-1.22
Tyreke Evans	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	5	-17	16.6	13.8	2.86	14.8	13.9	0.86
Jrue Holiday	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	0	-7	14.0	14.7	-0.66	14.4	13.9	0.47
Omer Asik	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	11	-29	15.7	13.4	2.32	14.0	14.2	-0.29
Quincy Pondexter	79	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	14.6	13.8	0.74	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Eric Gordon	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	8	-23	14.8	13.3	1.41	13.4	16.1	-2.64
Anthony Davis	83	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-3	-1	14.7	13.0	1.70	14.3	13.3	1.02

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	87	86	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-13	33	13.3	19.3	-6.00	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Draymond Green	88	88	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.04	23	-16	39	13.7	17.2	-3.48	14.9	11.0	3.90
Harrison Barnes	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-11	29	14.1	14.2	-0.17	14.5	14.2	0.30
Andrew Bogut	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	-1	9	14.5	13.5	0.94	15.4	12.8	2.60
Leandro Barbosa	26	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-6	19	13.0	14.5	-1.56	13.2	14.8	-1.56
Klay Thompson	75	77	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	13	-19	14.5	13.0	1.56	14.8	13.2	1.56
Andre Iguodala	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.47	-11	18	-29	14.5	13.3	1.19	13.5	16.1	-2.67
Marreese Speights	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.13	-5	12	-17	10.3	14.2	-3.90	4.5	14.6	-10.10
Festus Ezeli	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.6	14.0	1.56	11.9	14.6	-2.74
Shaun Livingston	26	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.41	-21	28	-49	16.7	13.2	3.47	14.0	14.6	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
GSW 88, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 103, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%