NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	8.4 [197]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +30.9%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	4.1 [379]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -26.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31	0.09	0.22	0.00	8	75%	0.35	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Paul George	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.27	0.09	0.19	0.02	18	63%	0.32	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
David West	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.07	0.01	13	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.13
Roy Hibbert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.27	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	9	28%	-0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.20	0.00	9	68%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.00	18	69%	0.28	3	-0.16	6	100%	0.05
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	15	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Pero Antic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.03,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	15	44%	0.08	4	-0.28	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	29.8	18.6	26.6	3.4	46.4	153.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +71.0%

ATL -48.5%

ATL -2.5%

IND +31.6%

ATL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.1	100.0	94.6	105.2
season	15.8	14.8		102.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	18.0	13.2	15.5	15.2
ATL	15.2	14.8	18.1	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	68	70	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.48	13	-10	23	14.5	17.1	-2.63	15.9	16.7	-0.81
George Hill	66	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-6	15	14.8	16.0	-1.15	16.4	15.4	1.02
Lance Stephenson	51	52	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.57	2	1	1	14.9	15.4	-0.51	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Paul George	82	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-3	9	15.1	16.1	-1.05	16.5	12.9	3.59
Luis Scola	38	41	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	3	-3	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Evan Turner	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	15.1	15.2	-0.17	14.6	17.3	-2.67
Ian Mahinmi	28	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	8	-13	15.7	14.9	0.79	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Roy Hibbert	48	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	5	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.44	17.1	15.1	1.98
CJ Watson	32	33	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.14	-6	9	-15	16.6	14.4	2.16	16.7	15.8	0.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	27	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-5	7	16.0	16.2	-0.18	15.5	15.0	0.50
Lou Williams	36	35	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-5	7	15.0	16.8	-1.80	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Cartier Martin	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-1	-1	18.0	16.1	1.89	0.0	15.3	-15.33
Pero Antic	51	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-5	7	16.5	15.7	0.76	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Mike Scott	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	16.2	16.0	0.20	15.5	14.7	0.80
Elton Brand	16	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	9	-21	14.6	16.4	-1.82	12.3	15.8	-3.53
Kyle Korver	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-7	11	16.0	16.4	-0.41	15.6	13.6	2.07
Paul Millsap	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	16.2	16.0	0.11	15.7	13.5	2.20
DeMarre Carroll	77	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	5	-13	16.5	14.1	2.42	15.3	14.7	0.56
Jeff Teague	68	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	4	-11	16.4	15.5	0.89	15.1	15.4	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.86,0.79,0.45,0.17,0	90.7%
SAS 103, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.61,0.68,0.37,0.22,0.16,0	90.3%
POR 103, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.35,0.08,0	90.3%