inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 86 Excitement4.8 [862] MVPChris Andersen (MIA): +11.6%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback1.5 [1279] LVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): -18.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.12-0.010.041472%0.102-0.031100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.01-0.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.040.001100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.130.010.10980%0.0300.002100%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.000,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01778%0.115-0.11450%-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01737%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
John Henson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ish Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00739%-0.024-0.11475%-0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.18,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.021524%-0.142-0.04450%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.03-0.02667%0.1200.00367%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.02571%0.0800.004100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.011462%0.153-0.08683%0.03
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.01-0.00675%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.031145%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Rashard Lewis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00337%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.01744%-0.022-0.032100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.001453%0.044-0.12887%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.020.06841%-0.071-0.031100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.729.616.423.82.629.6132.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +9.0%
MIA +16.7%
MIA +18.1%
MIA +4.8%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game14.916.215.493.5105.4104.1
season14.715.7101.6110.2
opponent15.915.3102.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.514.514.515.014.9
MIA14.516.116.817.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova56580.00-0.500.50-0.145-172215.014.70.3116.216.4-0.20
Gustavo Ayon540.00-0.500.50-0.155-17227.015.3-8.3321.716.05.75
JJ Redick1615-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-9613.015.3-2.2816.316.20.10
John Henson1311-0.07-0.430.37-0.132-141610.815.6-4.7918.915.93.02
Ish Smith89-0.15-0.350.19-0.150-121210.715.3-4.5215.716.3-0.64
Larry Sanders5658-0.16-0.340.17-0.160-121214.116.0-1.8816.116.5-0.38
Monta Ellis6667-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-7215.114.30.8516.515.70.82
Luc Mbah a Moute6063-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-6015.813.12.6916.016.7-0.67
Ekpe Udoh2625-0.33-0.17-0.170.14-164-2017.114.03.1214.816.8-2.03
Mike Dunleavy4748-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.05-120-1214.815.0-0.1516.516.00.52
Brandon Jennings7880-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-153-1815.710.35.4215.819.0-3.20
Marquis Daniels2927-0.530.03-0.56-0.09-153-1814.914.9-0.0317.115.91.27

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen53510.58-0.080.67-0.1826-144016.316.20.0815.514.11.41
Shane Battier48470.470.030.45-0.0317-52215.816.7-0.9014.914.9-0.02
LeBron James75720.470.030.430.0913-11415.618.8-3.2115.811.64.13
Norris Cole40410.360.140.220.041111017.315.51.8513.615.9-2.38
Chris Andersen24250.320.180.14-0.0914-21615.816.4-0.5614.315.1-0.77
Chris Bosh63600.180.32-0.140.12210-816.116.5-0.3215.912.93.03
Mario Chalmers53510.140.36-0.220.11111-1015.517.3-1.8515.913.62.38
Dwyane Wade61610.000.50-0.500.03-113-1416.715.41.2815.314.11.23
Rashard Lewis450.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.716.05.757.015.3-8.33
James Jones450.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.716.05.757.015.3-8.33
Mike Miller450.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.716.05.757.015.3-8.33
Joel Anthony450.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.716.05.757.015.3-8.33
Udonis Haslem3232-0.020.52-0.550.06-315-1815.216.8-1.5714.515.1-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 84, SEA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
LAC 74, IND 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
CLE 88, PHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,194.7%