NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	6.0 [484]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +26.6%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	1.9 [735]		LVP	Glen Davis (ORL): -13.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.08	-0.00	21	64%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	7	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	20%	-0.06
Daniel Orton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	13	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	17	41%	-0.05	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.14	0.04	10	95%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	20	56%	0.19	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.04	10	48%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	53%	0.03	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.8	27.3	15.6	25.1	3.5	30.3	133.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.7%

IND +3.0%

IND +15.0%

ORL -2.8%

IND +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.6	101.2	120.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		102.8	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.6	15.0	17.6	16.4	16.3
IND	15.4	15.0	20.3	17.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	11	10	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.07	9	-27	36	15.9	16.4	-0.46	17.1	17.0	0.14
Earl Clark	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-23	28	15.4	16.7	-1.29	15.2	17.6	-2.38
Daniel Orton	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-14	10	17.0	16.3	0.70	11.0	17.1	-6.12
Jason Richardson	45	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.28	-13	-5	-8	16.4	16.2	0.23	18.6	15.1	3.52
Chris Duhon	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-20	22	14.8	16.7	-1.87	16.4	17.1	-0.74
Ryan Anderson	68	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-4	-10	16.4	16.0	0.40	17.6	14.4	3.19
Jameer Nelson	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.22	-20	2	-22	16.7	14.8	1.87	17.1	16.4	0.74
Glen Davis	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	-4	-10	16.9	14.1	2.86	16.9	17.3	-0.42
JJ Redick	57	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	2	-22	15.7	17.6	-1.87	15.7	19.6	-3.86
Hedo Turkoglu	68	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.09	-21	3	-24	16.5	15.7	0.75	17.2	16.1	1.09

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.03	23	-5	28	17.8	13.9	3.94	16.8	14.7	2.02
Danny Granger	76	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-5	28	17.2	15.7	1.43	16.5	14.6	1.96
Darren Collison	44	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	7	4	15.8	18.2	-2.39	15.7	17.0	-1.28
Leandro Barbosa	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	14	-10	15.8	17.9	-2.10	15.9	16.6	-0.67
Roy Hibbert	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	7	4	17.0	17.0	-0.04	16.6	15.7	0.90
George Hill	52	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	2	14	18.4	14.9	3.45	16.4	16.2	0.12
Tyler Hansbrough	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	21	-24	15.4	17.7	-2.28	16.6	16.2	0.46
Paul George	58	56	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.18	9	9	0	17.6	15.8	1.72	16.3	16.4	-0.08
A.J. Price	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.0	17.0	-2.00	0.0	16.3	-16.31
Jeff Ayres	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.0	17.0	-2.00	0.0	16.3	-16.31
Lance Stephenson	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.0	17.0	-2.00	0.0	16.3	-16.31
Lou Amundson	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	22	-26	14.6	17.4	-2.78	13.8	16.8	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.4,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.2%
ATL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.1%
NYK 88, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%