NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	81		Excitement	8.4 [158]		MVP	Jason Richardson (ORL): +34.0%
Indiana Pacers	77		Comeback	8.6 [50]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -44.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.34,0.34	0.08	0.25	-0.01	15	57%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.14	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.05
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Glen Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	20	40%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	10	41%	-0.13	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	52%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	35%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	11	36%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	11	31%	-0.11	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.25,-0.45	-0.45	-0.15	-0.31	-0.01	20	39%	-0.27	5	-0.18	4	25%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	33.2	17.8	27.2	2.6	39.2	149.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +67.7%

ORL +8.3%

IND -12.4%

IND -13.1%

IND -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	15.9	15.6	94.2	84.6	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		102.8	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	17.3	17.5	15.8	16.7
IND	15.1	15.4	15.3	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	64	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	16.3	17.9	-1.55	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Jason Richardson	51	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.65	-2	6	-8	16.4	17.1	-0.68	16.2	15.3	0.88
Jameer Nelson	67	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	0	4	16.7	16.9	-0.24	16.0	15.4	0.59
Hedo Turkoglu	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	6	-8	16.7	16.7	-0.05	16.6	14.4	2.17
Glen Davis	73	77	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.39	-3	7	-10	16.6	17.1	-0.43	15.9	15.4	0.59
Quentin Richardson	28	30	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-5	14	15.7	17.2	-1.42	14.2	16.7	-2.42
Daniel Orton	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	13.0	16.8	-3.75	23.0	15.8	7.22
Earl Clark	34	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	4	-4	17.7	16.1	1.65	15.5	16.1	-0.56
JJ Redick	36	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.22	3	1	2	17.0	16.5	0.55	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Chris Duhon	17	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.14	0	4	-4	18.7	16.2	2.49	16.0	15.8	0.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	35	33	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.18	-2	-2	0	15.5	16.1	-0.60	17.6	16.2	1.41
Leandro Barbosa	37	37	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-2	0	15.4	16.2	-0.85	17.1	16.4	0.65
George Hill	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	15.8	16.0	-0.22	16.6	16.8	-0.14
Lou Amundson	17	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	2	-8	15.8	15.9	-0.04	17.5	16.5	0.97
Paul George	71	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-7	10	16.2	14.5	1.68	16.9	16.0	0.91
David West	65	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-9	14	15.7	16.2	-0.42	16.6	17.0	-0.47
Darren Collison	42	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	2	-8	16.0	15.8	0.22	16.8	16.6	0.14
Roy Hibbert	64	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	0	-4	16.4	14.7	1.69	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Danny Granger	75	70	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.51	-10	6	-16	15.6	17.0	-1.39	15.9	20.4	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,0	91.0%
CLE 97, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.57,0.08,0	90.1%
ATL 103, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.84,0.27,0	89.9%