NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	71		Excitement	2.1 [1288]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +5.0%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	1.0 [986]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -8.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	14	50%	0.04	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	75%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	63%	0.05	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.14	0.00	-0.15	14	31%	0.04	3	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.0	32.0	19.8	31.2	3.5	33.2	150.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.7%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +5.2%

BOS +15.4%

BOS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.3	80.7	106.8	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		110.1	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		102.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	15.7	16.9	14.5	15.7
BOS	14.6	17.8	17.4	18.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-31	39	12.1	16.3	-4.17	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Ryan Anderson	20	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	-18	13	15.9	15.7	0.21	21.2	16.0	5.19
Marcin Gortat	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-19	15	15.7	15.7	0.00	15.1	17.7	-2.62
Jason Williams	32	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-15	7	13.3	17.1	-3.76	17.3	16.8	0.52
Mickael Pietrus	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-17	11	15.3	16.1	-0.76	17.8	16.4	1.34
JJ Redick	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-19	15	14.5	17.3	-2.73	16.3	17.9	-1.55
Matt Barnes	28	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.16	-16	-7	-9	17.4	14.9	2.48	16.4	17.3	-0.87
Vince Carter	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-3	-17	16.2	14.7	1.54	17.3	16.2	1.18
Rashard Lewis	50	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	-7	-9	15.8	15.7	0.10	16.1	18.3	-2.25
Jameer Nelson	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-8	-7	17.1	13.3	3.76	16.8	17.3	-0.52
Dwight Howard	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	6	-35	16.2	13.6	2.66	17.6	14.6	3.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.28	25	-2	27	16.9	17.2	-0.23	15.9	15.2	0.73
Ray Allen	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.37	28	-5	33	17.1	16.5	0.59	16.5	13.2	3.28
Kevin Garnett	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	2	19	17.0	17.0	0.02	17.2	14.4	2.73
Paul Pierce	65	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.24	21	2	19	17.4	15.7	1.75	16.0	15.1	0.92
Kendrick Perkins	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	7	9	17.3	16.7	0.52	16.4	15.1	1.31
Glen Davis	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	21	-19	16.6	17.5	-0.86	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Tony Allen	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	11	1	17.8	16.5	1.33	15.8	15.7	0.13
Rasheed Wallace	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.22	13	10	3	17.6	16.7	0.90	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Michael Finley	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	26	-29	15.2	17.4	-2.20	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Marquis Daniels	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	15.2	17.3	-2.11	12.1	16.3	-4.17
Nate Robinson	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	15.8	17.1	-1.34	11.8	16.2	-4.44
Shelden Williams	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	15.8	17.1	-1.34	11.8	16.2	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 111, ORL 135	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
POR 81, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
BKN 81, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%