NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	6.3 [526]		MVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): +20.6%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	1.2 [1045]		LVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): -11.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.00	-0.01	20	68%	0.26	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.03	13	53%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	20	61%	0.15	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	54%	0.06	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	9	77%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	5	120%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.07	0.02	5	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	19	49%	0.09	1	-0.03	15	80%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	9	69%	0.12	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.02
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.5	33.4	19.4	28.9	3.0	37.4	150.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +31.4%

DEN +12.2%

UTA -1.3%

DEN +4.8%

DEN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.3	106.2	120.8	106.0
season	15.3	14.4		109.5	110.3
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	15.8	14.8	16.9	15.6
DEN	14.2	13.5	13.4	16.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	14.0	15.7	-1.66	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Kosta Koufos	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	14.0	15.7	-1.66	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Othyus Jeffers	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	14.0	15.7	-1.66	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Ronnie Price	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-9	4	17.7	15.3	2.43	12.8	14.6	-1.76
Kyle Korver	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-16	18	15.9	15.4	0.54	14.2	14.5	-0.36
Kyrylo Fesenko	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-7	0	17.2	14.5	2.74	12.9	15.4	-2.53
Paul Millsap	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	14.9	17.2	-2.34	14.8	13.4	1.46
Wesley Matthews	79	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-7	0	14.9	18.9	-4.03	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Deron Williams	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	15.4	17.2	-1.86	14.6	13.0	1.61
Carlos Boozer	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	0	-14	15.5	16.7	-1.19	14.7	11.7	2.99
CJ Miles	69	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	11	-36	16.3	13.9	2.42	14.6	13.8	0.83

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-1	16	14.4	13.8	0.58	15.6	16.3	-0.76
Ty Lawson	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	7	0	14.6	14.2	0.42	17.5	14.5	2.98
Kenyon Martin	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-1	16	14.5	14.0	0.57	15.6	15.8	-0.25
Chris Andersen	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	5	4	15.3	13.3	2.01	16.1	15.0	1.09
J.R. Smith	61	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	7	0	14.8	13.6	1.22	16.1	14.9	1.18
Johan Petro	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	8	-2	12.9	15.5	-2.53	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Arron Afflalo	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	8	-2	13.6	14.9	-1.29	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Chauncey Billups	60	59	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	7	0	14.2	14.6	-0.42	14.5	17.5	-2.98
Malik Allen	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	14.0	14.4	-0.38	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Nene	29	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	14	-14	14.4	14.4	0.06	15.3	15.8	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%
POR 77, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,1,1,1,1	93.7%
DAL 92, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.78,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%