inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 70 Excitement2.1 [1273] MVPTrevor Ariza (LAL): +6.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 89 Comeback1.0 [1291] LVPLuis Scola (HOU): -8.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Von Wafer0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.041143%0.021-0.0010%-0.01
Brian Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
James White0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.060.000.082133%0.002-0.022100%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01850%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Carl Landry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.061020%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.05623%-0.011-0.011100%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.011033%-0.031-0.0210%0.00
Aaron Brooks-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.031345%-0.015-0.063100%0.01
Luis Scola-0.080,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.031237%-0.043-0.04650%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01968%0.082-0.02475%0.00
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.04787%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.00-0.07550%0.052-0.00250%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02550%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011247%0.011-0.01683%0.01
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02764%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.001954%0.035-0.061100%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.100.00-0.08518%-0.003-0.0210%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.633.818.828.13.628.5141.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +28.5%
LAL +7.5%
LAL +9.7%
LAL +5.7%
HOU -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOULALNBAHOULALNBA
this game16.914.715.576.198.9106.4
season16.314.9105.9110.6
opponent15.415.2102.6102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU20.318.616.012.816.9
LAL14.711.914.617.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Cook560.00-0.500.50-0.3512-31436.017.5-11.5220.714.36.36
James White560.00-0.500.50-0.3512-31436.017.5-11.5220.714.36.36
Brent Barry1112-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-202113.717.3-3.5916.214.51.65
Von Wafer3232-0.13-0.370.240.20-11-8-315.717.5-1.8514.015.1-1.09
Kyle Lowry3535-0.13-0.370.240.01-5-14914.918.1-3.2815.714.11.51
Carl Landry4140-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-14915.518.0-2.5316.313.42.91
Shane Battier5855-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-3-1318.614.14.4914.914.50.36
Charles Hayes5047-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-7-518.115.42.7413.616.0-2.34
Luis Scola7674-0.45-0.05-0.410.22-234-2717.215.41.8414.018.1-4.12
Aaron Brooks7573-0.47-0.03-0.450.23-245-2917.315.12.1814.316.8-2.50
Metta World Peace7270-0.500.00-0.500.20-245-2918.212.06.2514.316.2-1.89

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bynum39420.410.090.31-0.151901914.514.9-0.3919.514.74.80
Kobe Bryant60630.390.110.29-0.1920-12114.215.9-1.7018.214.04.27
Trevor Ariza52540.360.140.21-0.02136714.315.4-1.1018.015.42.59
Pau Gasol77780.340.160.19-0.2420-12114.516.3-1.8417.115.91.14
Derek Fisher44460.330.170.17-0.02127514.115.3-1.1718.615.23.48
Lamar Odom46480.210.29-0.08-0.3820-12113.915.6-1.7716.417.4-0.99
Jordan Farmar38380.170.33-0.17-0.25145914.614.8-0.2715.917.6-1.74
Luke Walton19190.160.34-0.180.28-423-2714.914.70.2016.517.0-0.46
Sasha Vujacic39380.110.39-0.280.02316-1315.114.40.7014.918.3-3.40
Shannon Brown23220.010.49-0.470.01019-1917.813.74.1012.318.3-6.07
Josh Powell770.000.50-0.500.29-1029-3919.714.35.4010.417.4-6.99
DJ Mbenga650.000.50-0.500.35-1231-4320.714.36.366.017.5-11.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 83, IND 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
NYK 89, WAS 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
UTA 64, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%