NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	7.1 [417]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +43.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	4.4 [160]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -20.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.04	18	53%	0.21	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	17	67%	0.20	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	9	53%	0.02	5	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	12	37%	-0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.43	0.43	0.23	0.21	0.00	26	69%	0.55	5	-0.12	13	100%	0.09
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.01	17	50%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	14	58%	0.14	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	30%	0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.7	33.1	19.7	27.8	3.0	37.5	151.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -6.6%

LAL +23.9%

LAL +13.6%

LAL +18.1%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.4	102.3	108.0	104.5
season	13.8	15.3		112.2	106.3
opponent	14.9	16.0		107.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.7	17.7	16.7	16.3	15.5
LAL	19.6	15.0	16.8	18.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-8	10	14.8	15.9	-1.07	18.5	16.8	1.72
Kurt Thomas	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-8	10	12.3	16.9	-4.61	17.4	17.4	0.03
Raja Bell	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-15	24	14.9	18.0	-3.06	17.9	15.1	2.83
Boris Diaw	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	3	-12	15.7	15.3	0.42	16.2	18.5	-2.36
Steve Nash	64	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	16.0	14.2	1.86	17.9	15.8	2.12
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	6	-18	16.7	13.5	3.28	17.4	17.2	0.21
Shawn Marion	81	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	1	-8	15.8	12.3	3.44	17.1	20.4	-3.33
Leandro Barbosa	66	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.25	-14	8	-22	15.8	14.6	1.28	16.7	19.2	-2.48

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-3	12	17.4	17.2	0.16	16.4	13.4	2.99
Kobe Bryant	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	5	-4	17.3	17.8	-0.50	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Shammond Williams	44	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-6	18	16.4	18.3	-1.95	16.5	14.5	2.03
Lamar Odom	84	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	18.0	5.0	12.95	15.2	26.3	-11.18
Smush Parker	30	30	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	1	4	16.4	17.8	-1.41	17.5	14.5	2.99
Brian Cook	23	22	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-2	10	14.7	18.3	-3.67	17.3	15.0	2.32
Luke Walton	42	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	18.0	16.8	1.22	14.8	16.2	-1.37
Andrew Bynum	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	5	-4	18.2	17.2	1.01	12.4	16.3	-3.96
Maurice Evans	12	13	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	4	-2	16.1	17.6	-1.48	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Jordan Farmar	42	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.19	-10	16	-26	18.8	16.1	2.67	14.3	16.7	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.82,1	92.7%
BOS 99, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.92,1	92.1%
NJN 105, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	91.8%