NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	3.5 [1105]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +31.2%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	1.0 [1071]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -3.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	100%	0.10	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	22	56%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.04	-0.05	23	71%	0.37	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	60%	0.08	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	14	57%	0.11	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	25.8	17.8	27.0	3.0	33.2	136.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +35.6%

NJN +4.0%

TOR -0.3%

NJN +7.1%

NJN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.4	96.7	112.1	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	14.1	15.2	13.4	15.2
NJN	14.3	15.3	19.1	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Jackson	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-16	19	15.8	15.2	0.67	16.7	16.2	0.48
Morris Peterson	64	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.33	7	-20	27	13.6	18.8	-5.15	18.0	12.1	5.87
Kris Humphries	9	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-8	3	16.0	15.1	0.88	14.1	16.5	-2.44
Andrea Bargnani	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-13	13	13.5	17.1	-3.66	17.6	14.8	2.77
Jose Calderon	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-7	1	13.6	16.1	-2.45	16.5	16.2	0.35
Rasho Nesterovic	32	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-7	1	18.1	13.7	4.43	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Juan Dixon	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-5	-3	14.6	15.4	-0.74	13.5	17.0	-3.46
Joey Graham	25	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	3	-19	18.8	13.9	4.99	12.2	17.7	-5.52
T.J. Ford	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	15.6	14.2	1.43	15.9	17.2	-1.29
Anthony Parker	75	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	0	-13	15.5	13.9	1.62	16.6	15.1	1.48
Chris Bosh	86	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-1	-11	15.2	14.8	0.40	16.4	15.1	1.23

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	80	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	-4	21	16.0	18.5	-2.58	15.4	13.3	2.14
Jason Kidd	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	16.1	17.0	-0.89	16.2	11.3	4.88
Richard Jefferson	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	6	1	16.2	16.4	-0.17	15.7	13.5	2.18
Mikki Moore	47	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	1	11	16.1	16.5	-0.39	16.4	13.9	2.57
Bostjan Nachbar	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	9	-5	17.0	15.4	1.60	13.8	17.1	-3.34
Jason Collins	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	12	-11	16.4	16.1	0.36	16.4	13.8	2.57
Antoine Wright	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	8	-3	14.3	16.8	-2.54	12.6	15.9	-3.33
Clifford Robinson	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	9	-5	16.9	16.1	0.76	12.6	16.0	-3.35
Josh Boone	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	11	-9	17.2	16.0	1.19	15.8	15.0	0.72
Marcus Williams	17	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	17.0	16.1	0.89	11.3	16.2	-4.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 113, HOU 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.72,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 90, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%