NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	8.2 [233]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAC): +27.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	2.6 [327]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -23.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.02	24	60%	0.31	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.15	-0.06	0.19	-0.02	9	50%	0.26	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.08
Tim Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.00	18	49%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	13	35%	-0.08	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.27,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.11	0.00	8	100%	0.40	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	7	62%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	17	49%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	14	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	10	27%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	10	32%	-0.08	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.5	29.6	18.7	29.2	1.8	43.0	152.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.7%

PHX +32.8%

LAC -4.4%

PHX +26.7%

LAC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	15.6	94.0	92.9	104.4
season	13.8	15.2		110.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	13.5	13.4	15.7	13.8
LAC	14.7	13.7	17.3	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	48	47	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.62	9	-6	15	14.1	13.6	0.43	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Steve Nash	90	88	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-3	9	13.6	15.8	-2.18	15.6	12.3	3.30
Shawn Marion	99	96	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	13.9	12.0	1.86	15.4	10.0	5.38
Tim Thomas	85	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-1	5	13.8	14.1	-0.35	15.6	13.7	1.89
Boris Diaw	84	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-1	5	13.8	14.1	-0.34	14.7	18.2	-3.57
James Jones	22	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	0	3	14.3	13.7	0.55	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Brian Grant	3	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	8	-13	18.7	13.7	4.98	15.2	15.3	-0.02
Raja Bell	69	69	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.07	-10	13	-23	13.7	14.1	-0.37	15.4	14.8	0.62

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	68	70	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.04	15	-18	33	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.3	12.8	1.53
Walter McCarty	1	2	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-5	7	7.0	15.4	-8.35	11.5	13.9	-2.39
Shaun Livingston	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-4	5	16.0	14.6	1.36	14.2	13.6	0.61
Quinton Ross	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	3	-9	15.6	15.1	0.57	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Corey Maggette	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-2	1	14.6	16.2	-1.62	14.0	13.6	0.38
Sam Cassell	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	0	-3	15.0	15.9	-0.96	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	0	-3	15.0	15.5	-0.53	14.4	13.3	1.10
Elton Brand	86	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	4	-11	15.7	12.1	3.63	13.6	15.1	-1.43
Cuttino Mobley	84	86	-1.05	0.55	-1.59	-0.66	-13	10	-23	15.4	14.7	0.64	13.7	14.4	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0	91.5%
CLE 114, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.23,0.15,0	90.8%
ATL 103, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.16,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.33,0.05,0	90.7%