NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	115		Excitement	6.5 [546]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +34.6%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	6.3 [82]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -30.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.35	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35	0.25	0.16	0.06	28	74%	0.44	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	54%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	5	57%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	12	53%	-0.04	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	18	64%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	18	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	10	58%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.31	-0.20	-0.13	-0.02	17	32%	-0.18	4	-0.13	6	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.5	34.3	19.4	29.5	3.5	41.4	156.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +66.5%

SEA +5.2%

SAC -16.4%

SAC -5.0%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	15.5	118.6	106.2	104.0
season	16.5	14.7		109.5	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	13.4	15.7	16.7	15.3
SAC	15.0	14.3	15.0	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	70	69	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.06	31	-18	49	15.4	15.1	0.29	14.6	14.2	0.42
Ray Allen	92	91	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.05	22	-9	31	15.1	19.2	-4.09	14.6	13.0	1.60
Rashard Lewis	85	84	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.04	18	-5	23	15.6	13.3	2.27	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Antonio Daniels	43	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	9	-5	16.1	14.7	1.43	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Nick Collison	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	14	-15	17.3	13.9	3.41	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Reggie Evans	33	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	15	-17	15.8	15.1	0.66	15.5	14.0	1.52
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	14	-15	14.0	16.3	-2.29	15.4	13.8	1.67
Luke Ridnour	64	64	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.21	4	9	-5	13.9	18.1	-4.20	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Danny Fortson	15	15	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	23	-33	15.8	15.2	0.57	14.3	14.6	-0.22

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	23	24	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.01	15	-28	43	13.8	14.7	-0.91	15.8	15.2	0.68
Bobby Jackson	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-12	11	15.7	14.0	1.67	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Corliss Williamson	21	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-15	17	14.7	14.5	0.19	16.3	15.0	1.29
Kenny Thomas	70	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-1	-11	14.3	15.0	-0.66	15.5	14.9	0.55
Peja Stojakovic	92	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	14.2	21.7	-7.54	15.4	13.5	1.90
Mike Bibby	89	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	1	-15	14.4	15.4	-0.98	15.0	19.5	-4.46
Cuttino Mobley	81	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	3	-19	14.4	15.1	-0.73	15.4	14.7	0.77
Brad Miller	74	73	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.09	-29	16	-45	15.0	12.9	2.09	15.2	15.6	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.8%
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%
DET 87, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.08,0	92.2%