inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 76 Excitement1.9 [1301] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +5.0%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback1.1 [1165] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -9.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.06775%0.0200.002100%0.00
Wesley Person0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01764%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nene-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04443%-0.001-0.02667%-0.02
Earl Boykins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.031133%-0.021-0.022100%-0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00647%-0.032-0.033100%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.041232%-0.041-0.02425%-0.00
Andre Miller-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.04844%-0.053-0.02978%-0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.110.00-0.011436%-0.073-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04789%0.072-0.025100%0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04789%0.062-0.024100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.00-0.071747%0.051-0.02667%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.011565%0.053-0.03729%-0.04
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01550%0.0100.00475%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02337%-0.0000.0020%-0.02
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01250%-0.0000.004100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01850%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02217%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.83.533.419.429.63.731.2149.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.4%
SAS +3.3%
SAS +0.5%
SAS +7.3%
SAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.615.715.581.7114.3104.0
season14.816.3103.8105.8
opponent15.615.698.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.615.613.519.115.6
SAS15.514.417.015.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson11100.00-0.500.50-0.031-293017.415.42.0118.315.42.90
Bryon Russell87-0.01-0.490.470.10-4-242016.115.50.5817.015.61.39
Eduardo Najera77-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-262412.915.8-2.9617.615.62.01
Nene4644-0.15-0.350.210.26-14-14015.315.8-0.4814.716.6-1.87
Greg Buckner3331-0.18-0.320.140.20-13-15216.515.11.3815.415.9-0.55
DerMarr Johnson5451-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-231816.414.41.9916.314.91.36
Wesley Person4342-0.19-0.310.130.37-19-9-1014.716.4-1.6615.116.2-1.11
Earl Boykins4847-0.22-0.280.050.36-20-8-1214.616.7-2.1315.216.2-0.99
Andre Miller6162-0.34-0.16-0.180.10-15-13-216.214.41.8515.815.40.39
Kenyon Martin4344-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-12-416.315.01.2416.315.11.17
Carmelo Anthony5050-0.40-0.10-0.290.04-15-13-215.415.9-0.5015.615.8-0.21
Marcus Camby6160-0.44-0.06-0.370.09-18-10-815.016.7-1.7215.615.9-0.34

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker57570.420.080.35-0.131991015.615.9-0.2215.316.0-0.71
Robert Horry44460.350.150.20-0.5330-23213.817.5-3.7614.716.4-1.69
Bruce Bowen56580.350.150.20-0.211991015.815.50.3316.114.81.31
Tim Duncan52530.350.150.19-0.211991016.614.62.0115.316.0-0.76
Manu Ginobili37390.320.180.15-0.061315-214.516.5-1.9814.316.5-2.17
Brent Barry60610.280.220.07-0.271991015.615.9-0.2415.615.6-0.05
Nazr Mohammed46450.250.25-0.000.07622-1615.715.70.0115.315.8-0.50
Beno Udrih35370.070.43-0.35-0.19919-1015.515.8-0.2815.615.60.01
Rasho Nesterovic22230.050.45-0.40-0.07424-2017.315.22.1218.114.83.32
Glenn Robinson23240.050.45-0.410.02127-2616.315.50.7316.815.21.62
Tony Massenburg13120.000.50-0.500.00028-2817.215.51.6815.715.60.18
Devin Brown10100.000.50-0.50-0.03127-2618.315.42.9017.315.41.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 96, SAS 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
WAS 87, UTA 1290.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
GSW 83, IND 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%