NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	68		Excitement	3.6 [1082]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +11.6%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	1.0 [1271]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -10.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Karl Malone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	13	38%	-0.04	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.03	-0.04	11	66%	0.14	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	22	61%	0.13	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	9	32%	-0.07	3	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.4	34.3	19.8	28.3	3.4	35.4	153.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +10.7%

DET +9.8%

DET +10.2%

DET +17.9%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	17.2	15.7	77.3	100.0	100.5
season	15.4	16.2		102.8	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.6		92.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	16.2	15.5	13.9	15.5
DET	16.1	19.0	17.2	16.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	8.0	15.7	-7.71	15.7	17.2	-1.58
Brian Cook	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-22	24	12.9	16.0	-3.06	20.3	16.6	3.68
Slava Medvedenko	39	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-19	18	15.4	15.7	-0.27	17.5	17.0	0.54
Kareem Rush	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-15	10	13.8	16.6	-2.84	17.2	17.2	0.01
Luke Walton	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.16	-12	-8	-4	14.1	16.5	-2.40	18.2	16.5	1.72
Derek Fisher	27	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-12	4	16.3	15.2	1.05	19.3	16.3	2.97
Devean George	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-12	4	16.4	14.9	1.51	16.5	17.8	-1.27
Karl Malone	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-7	-6	17.4	14.4	2.93	16.7	17.5	-0.79
Gary Payton	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-8	-4	15.2	16.4	-1.22	16.4	19.5	-3.02
Shaquille O'Neal	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	-1	-18	16.1	12.9	3.25	16.6	19.5	-2.82
Kobe Bryant	82	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	0	-20	15.9	10.5	5.40	17.1	18.3	-1.19

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	79	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	5	10	17.2	17.6	-0.40	16.1	8.7	7.41
Ben Wallace	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	12	-4	17.1	17.4	-0.30	15.3	16.7	-1.49
Chauncey Billups	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	6	8	16.3	20.4	-4.12	16.1	13.4	2.70
Rasheed Wallace	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	12	-4	16.1	18.8	-2.78	15.7	15.4	0.29
Tayshaun Prince	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	15	-10	16.5	19.3	-2.77	15.2	16.6	-1.47
Corliss Williamson	24	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	9	2	19.5	16.3	3.17	17.5	14.7	2.77
Lindsey Hunter	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.20	12	8	4	19.4	16.2	3.17	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Elden Campbell	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.17	10	10	0	19.3	16.5	2.75	18.8	14.5	4.24
Mike James	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	13	-6	17.7	17.2	0.51	7.0	16.2	-9.16
Darvin Ham	5	4	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	14	-8	15.4	17.3	-1.90	4.7	16.0	-11.30
Darko Milicic	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	17.7	17.2	0.58	6.3	15.9	-9.53
Mehmet Okur	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	19	-18	18.4	17.0	1.47	13.8	15.9	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NOK 103, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
TOR 92, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%