NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	2.2 [1225]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +5.2%
Houston Rockets	123		Comeback	1.1 [1157]		LVP	Chris Anstey (CHI): -8.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	64%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	27%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	32%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.00	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	20	57%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	78%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	110%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.09	14	73%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.13	13	68%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	24.3	16.7	25.3	1.7	23.0	117.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.9%

HOU +0.4%

HOU +3.6%

HOU +10.1%

HOU +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.2	79.6	128.1	101.7
season	16.5	15.4		91.8	102.4
opponent	14.6	14.9		103.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	13.6	14.9	15.9	14.5
HOU	14.8	14.2	13.3	19.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-49	53	15.2	14.4	0.79	19.8	14.1	5.66
Chris Anstey	49	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-33	21	15.0	14.0	0.96	16.3	14.0	2.22
Randy Brown	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.46	-22	-23	1	13.7	15.1	-1.42	13.8	16.2	-2.48
Corey Benjamin	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-35	25	15.5	13.8	1.66	16.1	14.5	1.56
Chris Carr	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.33	-18	-27	9	14.7	14.5	0.27	14.2	15.5	-1.38
Dickey Simpkins	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.44	-22	-23	1	14.7	14.4	0.30	16.1	14.5	1.58
Metta World Peace	67	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.46	-23	-22	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.23	15.9	13.7	2.14
Matt Maloney	36	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.45	-23	-22	-1	14.9	14.3	0.63	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Hersey Hawkins	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	-26	7	14.7	14.5	0.23	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Will Perdue	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-32	19	14.9	14.4	0.54	12.7	15.8	-3.07
Fred Hoiberg	56	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.58	-30	-15	-15	13.3	16.1	-2.76	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Elton Brand	75	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.78	-37	-8	-29	14.4	14.9	-0.51	14.5	17.4	-2.97

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.81	40	5	35	13.8	17.5	-3.67	14.6	14.4	0.18
Bryce Drew	48	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	32	-19	16.3	14.0	2.31	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Carlos Rogers	42	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	33	-21	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.0	14.2	0.81
Kelvin Cato	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.80	37	8	29	14.0	16.4	-2.37	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Cuttino Mobley	46	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	34	-23	16.4	14.0	2.37	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Walt Williams	50	50	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.75	34	11	23	14.0	16.4	-2.37	14.7	14.3	0.45
Matt Bullard	36	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	36	-27	14.5	15.6	-1.04	14.6	14.5	0.10
Steve Francis	54	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.61	27	18	9	15.5	14.8	0.70	14.6	14.4	0.18
Kenny Thomas	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.73	31	14	17	15.6	14.5	1.08	14.7	14.2	0.46
Moochie Norris	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	35	-25	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.6	14.5	0.09
Anthony Miller	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	44	-43	17.3	15.0	2.30	9.5	14.8	-5.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 95, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
BOS 100, PHX 131	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
TOR 84, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%