NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	9.8 [67]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +31.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	7.6 [403]		LVP	Malik Sealy (MIN): -31.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	52%	0.00	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	15	43%	-0.01	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	17	41%	0.01	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.19	-0.01	16	78%	0.45	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.07
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	9	60%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	59%	-0.00	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	8	42%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.01	-0.14	0.02	20	53%	-0.12	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.23,-0.38,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.06	-0.26	-0.00	13	43%	-0.28	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	29.0	15.4	25.3	1.8	34.2	1.7	17.5	151.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -47.7%

MIN +34.7%

MIN +35.1%

MIN +23.3%

MIN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.2	105.9	109.9	101.7
season	14.1	15.1		98.0	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.8	14.5	17.0	16.9	16.4	15.7
MIN	12.9	14.3	16.4	18.2	21.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	53	54	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-9	14	15.8	15.7	0.03	14.4	17.3	-2.91
Shawn Kemp	55	57	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-8	12	16.5	14.8	1.64	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Brevin Knight	46	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-3	2	14.5	16.8	-2.32	14.8	16.5	-1.78
Cedric Henderson	18	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	14.0	16.1	-2.12	15.9	15.7	0.23
Andrew DeClercq	23	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	4	-12	14.1	16.2	-2.14	13.4	16.3	-2.92
Mark Bryant	64	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	16.2	15.0	1.21	16.2	15.0	1.17
Lamond Murray	65	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.2	14.9	1.33	16.4	14.4	2.00
Andre Miller	55	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	16.8	14.5	2.32	16.5	14.8	1.78
Danny Ferry	59	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.52	-2	-2	0	15.5	16.1	-0.64	16.5	14.6	1.85
Bob Sura	67	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.42	-11	7	-18	15.5	16.2	-0.70	15.9	15.4	0.51

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	55	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-4	12	16.7	14.6	2.12	16.9	14.2	2.63
Malik Sealy	67	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-1	6	15.5	16.2	-0.74	16.1	15.1	0.96
Wally Szczerbiak	90	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-4	12	16.1	12.5	3.59	15.9	14.5	1.34
Terrell Brandon	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-2	8	15.7	16.1	-0.38	16.6	11.9	4.69
Kevin Garnett	86	87	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	2	0	16.2	13.1	3.14	15.6	16.4	-0.71
Rasho Nesterovic	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	0	4	11.2	16.8	-5.58	15.0	15.9	-0.91
William Avery	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	17.6	15.5	2.06	13.0	16.0	-3.04
Sam Mitchell	18	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	2	0	16.9	15.5	1.46	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Dean Garrett	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	7	-10	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Bobby Jackson	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	10	-16	13.9	16.0	-2.09	12.3	16.2	-3.94
Tom Hammonds	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	7	-10	15.4	15.8	-0.33	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Anthony Peeler	46	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	9	-14	15.0	16.3	-1.28	14.7	16.7	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.36,0.68,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.96,1	90.1%
UTA 105, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.55,0.33,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.94,0.91,1	89.7%
NJN 88, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,1	89.5%