NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	8.6 [165]		MVP	Derek Strong (ORL): +0.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.7 [576]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	78%	0.02	6	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
John Amaechi	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28	-0.04	-0.23	0.01	19	59%	-0.07	6	-0.21	6	100%	0.05
Chucky Atkins	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34	-0.18	-0.16	-0.01	9	11%	-0.20	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	6	53%	0.03	3	-0.15	3	67%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	7	37%	-0.07	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	6	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	22	36%	-0.29	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.6	30.2	14.8	23.2	1.7	33.1	132.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.2%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +14.5%

PHI +13.4%

ORL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.3	15.2	85.0	86.4	101.7
season	13.6	15.0		100.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		98.1	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	11.8	14.9	14.8	15.0	14.1
PHI	14.3	11.8	15.2	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	58	60	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.10	14	-18	32	13.3	15.2	-1.96	15.3	12.9	2.38
Michael Doleac	37	38	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-10	16	14.6	13.8	0.77	15.6	13.5	2.12
Ben Wallace	75	76	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-11	18	13.7	15.1	-1.39	14.6	13.4	1.20
Anthony Johnson	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	1	-6	14.2	14.1	0.08	11.7	14.6	-2.88
Derek Strong	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	2	-8	10.0	14.3	-4.34	6.2	14.8	-8.63
John Amaechi	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	14.8	13.5	1.31	14.2	14.4	-0.13
Darrell Armstrong	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.49	8	-12	20	13.0	17.1	-4.10	14.9	12.7	2.23
Monty Williams	31	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	12	-28	15.9	13.3	2.64	11.7	15.5	-3.77
Ron Mercer	79	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-2	0	13.6	15.8	-2.13	14.7	12.4	2.35
Chucky Atkins	47	49	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.30	-13	9	-22	16.1	12.2	3.90	13.1	15.3	-2.19
Pat Garrity	36	38	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.43	-9	5	-14	14.3	13.9	0.40	14.4	14.2	0.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	83	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-3	10	14.8	12.1	2.72	13.6	15.9	-2.31
Allen Iverson	90	88	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	7	-10	14.3	14.0	0.33	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Tyrone Hill	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	2	0	15.4	12.8	2.57	14.2	13.9	0.34
Aaron McKie	43	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	-3	10	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.1	13.4	1.72
Matt Geiger	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-7	18	13.8	14.5	-0.74	13.2	14.5	-1.28
George Lynch	83	78	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	7	-10	13.4	17.9	-4.48	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Theo Ratliff	68	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.47	-10	14	-24	15.2	12.5	2.69	14.3	13.6	0.72
Toni Kukoc	51	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.19	8	-4	12	13.6	14.9	-1.31	15.0	13.3	1.69
Kevin Ollie	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	4	-4	0.0	14.4	-14.43	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Todd MacCulloch	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	3	-2	12.7	14.3	-1.67	11.0	14.1	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,1	92.8%
PHX 76, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	90.6%
BOS 102, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.97,0.99,1	90.4%