NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	10.3 [47]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (HOU): +31.8%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	9.2 [141]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -21.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	26	57%	0.28	3	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	15	49%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	22	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	12	31%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.32,0.32	0.32	-0.01	0.32	-0.00	9	52%	0.41	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.07
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	11	54%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.05	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	14	54%	0.08	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	7	31%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	13	44%	-0.14	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	26.5	15.6	25.1	1.8	32.0	1.8	17.9	144.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.3%

HOU +8.3%

HOU +47.2%

NJN -45.2%

NJN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.2	91.1	96.1	101.7
season	15.5	15.4		102.1	102.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	15.9	16.8	14.9	15.4	13.3	15.5
HOU	13.6	16.0	18.7	15.2	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	40	38	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.17	4	-11	15	15.2	15.7	-0.42	15.7	15.7	0.02
Jamie Feick	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-8	9	16.4	15.2	1.14	14.5	16.0	-1.58
Scott Burrell	19	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	14.9	15.6	-0.69	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Elliot Perry	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	19.4	15.3	4.10	16.5	15.6	0.88
Lucious Harris	24	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.5	15.2	1.36	13.1	16.4	-3.27
Jim McIlvaine	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	1	-9	15.8	15.4	0.43	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Evan Eschmeyer	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-9	11	15.3	15.7	-0.33	17.2	14.1	3.07
Kerry Kittles	77	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	15.2	16.5	-1.36	16.4	13.1	3.27
Stephon Marbury	96	97	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	15.3	19.4	-4.10	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Keith Van Horn	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.4	16.1	-0.74	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Kendall Gill	61	65	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.46	-11	4	-15	15.7	15.2	0.42	15.7	15.7	-0.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	80	78	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.41	15	-8	23	15.5	16.4	-0.93	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Kenny Thomas	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-4	15	15.4	16.1	-0.72	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Kelvin Cato	52	51	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	14.5	16.9	-2.40	15.1	15.9	-0.74
Cuttino Mobley	51	50	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	14.5	16.9	-2.41	15.6	15.4	0.19
Bryce Drew	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	16.3	15.6	0.78	17.7	15.1	2.56
Anthony Miller	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	8	-9	18.0	15.5	2.50	19.5	15.3	4.25
Shandon Anderson	74	73	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	7	-7	15.8	15.4	0.36	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon	44	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	11	-15	16.7	14.9	1.81	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Carlos Rogers	35	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	11	-15	16.1	15.4	0.72	16.0	15.3	0.70
Walt Williams	38	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	13	-19	17.4	14.6	2.77	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Moochie Norris	40	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.09	-4	11	-15	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.7	15.4	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	90.4%
CLE 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	89.9%
CHI 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.84,0.96,1	89.8%