NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	4.7 [859]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +11.8%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	1.6 [933]		LVP	Randy Brown (CHI): -14.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	20	66%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.08	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	9	50%	0.03	5	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	13	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	11	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.02	-0.07	8	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	89%	0.09	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	73%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.09	14	36%	-0.06	3	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	29.6	17.7	27.6	2.7	35.0	140.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +6.7%

PHI +8.2%

PHI +12.5%

PHI +21.0%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.2	105.6	93.3	101.7
season	15.0	16.5		99.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.8	15.7	17.6	15.8
CHI	15.6	18.8	17.0	13.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-3	17	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.6	14.7	1.85
Eric Snow	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	1	9	15.0	20.1	-5.06	16.4	15.2	1.17
George Lynch	56	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-4	19	15.6	16.1	-0.42	17.3	14.3	2.98
Allen Iverson	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	3	5	16.0	14.8	1.28	16.0	17.2	-1.28
Toni Kukoc	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	15.7	15.9	-0.16	17.1	14.5	2.57
Matt Geiger	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	5	1	16.4	15.4	0.98	16.5	16.0	0.47
Aaron McKie	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	7	-3	16.8	15.0	1.80	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Kevin Ollie	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	12	-13	17.7	15.5	2.21	13.9	16.6	-2.77
Jumaine Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	15.0	15.8	-0.83	9.0	16.4	-7.36
Nazr Mohammed	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	14.0	15.9	-1.91	9.5	16.5	-7.01
Todd MacCulloch	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	15	-19	15.6	15.8	-0.26	13.4	16.8	-3.36
Ira Bowman	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	15	-19	8.5	16.0	-7.47	15.0	16.2	-1.23

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	16.1	16.2	-0.09	16.1	15.6	0.42
Will Perdue	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-13	15	13.7	17.3	-3.62	16.0	15.7	0.23
Matt Maloney	50	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-18	25	14.9	17.8	-2.92	16.4	15.0	1.46
Hersey Hawkins	63	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-17	23	15.6	17.7	-2.15	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Michael Ruffin	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-11	11	12.4	16.8	-4.46	17.9	15.4	2.48
Dickey Simpkins	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	-1	-9	19.3	15.0	4.32	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Chris Anstey	41	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	16.7	15.8	0.84	16.4	15.3	1.17
Chris Carr	24	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	15.4	16.5	-1.13	15.8	15.8	0.01
Elton Brand	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	16.5	15.1	1.41	15.5	17.4	-1.92
Randy Brown	40	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	7	-25	17.8	14.9	2.92	15.0	16.4	-1.46
Metta World Peace	59	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	10	-31	17.3	14.2	3.06	15.8	15.8	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
BKN 102, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAL 110, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%