NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	4.4 [911]		MVP	Corey Maggette (ORL): +6.6%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	1.7 [819]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -12.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Lorenzo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	14	62%	0.05	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.06	0.07	11	64%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
John Amaechi	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	33%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	16	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	33.2	15.8	23.0	1.6	27.6	124.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +12.8%

WAS -6.6%

ORL +17.3%

ORL +23.9%

ORL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.8	15.2	99.0	110.3	101.7
season	15.5	13.6		101.1	100.4
opponent	15.4	14.8		99.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	16.0	17.6	14.5	15.9
ORL	14.4	12.1	12.4	16.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	17.0	15.9	1.11	20.5	13.5	7.04
Reggie Jordan	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	17.0	15.9	1.11	20.5	13.5	7.04
Lorenzo Williams	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-8	5	14.2	16.2	-2.02	12.9	13.9	-0.95
Chris Whitney	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	0	-11	16.1	15.8	0.36	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Aaron Williams	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-11	11	15.3	16.5	-1.18	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Jahidi White	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-16	21	16.1	15.7	0.47	15.0	12.1	2.84
Richard Hamilton	25	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.29	-18	7	-25	14.5	16.4	-1.91	13.1	13.9	-0.82
Mitch Richmond	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-13	15	16.2	15.4	0.77	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Ike Austin	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	3	-17	15.5	16.2	-0.76	12.4	14.6	-2.27
Tracy Murray	51	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	17.3	14.5	2.82	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Rod Strickland	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-11	11	15.8	16.1	-0.36	14.2	13.2	1.03
Juwan Howard	87	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	4	-19	15.9	16.0	-0.07	13.6	14.6	-1.00

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	59	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-1	13	13.9	13.5	0.46	16.3	15.3	0.98
Ben Wallace	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	6	-1	14.1	12.8	1.28	16.5	14.4	2.13
Chucky Atkins	42	40	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	2	7	13.0	14.3	-1.24	14.1	17.2	-3.04
Corey Maggette	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	3	5	12.6	14.8	-2.16	14.9	16.9	-1.95
Michael Doleac	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	3	5	13.2	14.2	-1.01	16.1	15.8	0.28
John Amaechi	56	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	14.2	13.2	1.01	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Darrell Armstrong	55	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	14.3	13.0	1.24	17.2	14.1	3.04
Ron Mercer	51	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	10	-9	14.1	13.4	0.65	16.8	14.9	1.88
Monty Williams	26	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	5	1	12.6	14.2	-1.55	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Pat Garrity	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	9	-7	14.1	13.6	0.56	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Johnny Taylor	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	24.0	13.5	10.46	21.0	15.9	5.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 98, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DAL 92, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%