NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	6.7 [487]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +14.7%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	3.2 [537]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -25.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	17	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.17	1	-0.05	10	100%	0.06
Derrick McKey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.06	0.03	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Perkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	79%	0.11	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Austin Croshere	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	12	78%	0.21	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	18	61%	0.13	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	19	43%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	17	33%	-0.19	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	25.4	15.5	25.3	2.5	30.6	126.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +49.2%

IND +3.5%

IND +9.3%

BOS -16.5%

IND +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	17.1	14.7	15.2	124.2	115.6	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		106.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	20.6	18.3	16.6	17.1
BOS	15.0	16.2	14.5	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	65	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-7	23	15.6	20.8	-5.16	14.9	14.1	0.81
Derrick McKey	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	17.6	16.7	0.95	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Mark Jackson	56	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-3	15	15.7	19.5	-3.80	15.2	13.9	1.29
Reggie Miller	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	15.9	23.0	-7.13	14.7	14.5	0.19
Jalen Rose	75	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	17.2	16.6	0.60	15.0	13.5	1.43
Rik Smits	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	4	1	16.9	17.3	-0.44	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Sam Perkins	35	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	20.0	15.3	4.68	14.8	14.6	0.17
Travis Best	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	20.3	15.4	4.97	13.2	15.5	-2.33
Austin Croshere	32	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	21	-33	18.6	16.3	2.32	14.6	14.7	-0.15

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	24	26	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.01	8	-17	25	15.3	14.5	0.88	17.6	16.9	0.64
Adrian Griffin	26	25	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-18	27	14.8	14.6	0.17	17.9	16.8	1.05
Dana Barros	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-11	13	14.0	15.1	-1.14	17.4	17.0	0.37
Walter McCarty	12	11	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	4	-17	17.7	14.2	3.44	16.3	17.2	-0.96
Calbert Cheaney	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	5	-19	14.6	14.9	-0.24	16.8	17.8	-1.01
Paul Pierce	85	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	14.4	20.2	-5.84	17.0	19.7	-2.75
Vitaly Potapenko	80	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.36	-5	-4	-1	14.4	16.9	-2.49	16.9	18.5	-1.52
Kenny Anderson	57	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	15.1	14.0	1.14	17.0	17.4	-0.37
Antoine Walker	71	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	6	-21	14.7	14.7	0.01	17.4	15.9	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.22,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.15,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
NOH 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0,0	92.6%
DAL 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,0	92.1%