NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	5.8 [659]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +10.7%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.8 [762]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): -33.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	18	57%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	17	58%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.06
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.08	7	72%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.03
Luc Longley	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34	-0.19	-0.14	0.00	16	25%	-0.22	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.06	-0.05	10	55%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	9	17%	-0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	28.1	16.4	20.6	2.4	42.4	133.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.1%

PHX -2.2%

IND +10.1%

PHX -3.4%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	16.2	15.2	90.6	97.9	101.7
season	14.8	15.4		101.4	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.8	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	14.6	15.2	12.3	13.9
IND	16.2	14.8	16.9	17.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-4	2	14.0	13.9	0.07	15.5	16.3	-0.88
Corie Blount	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	12.2	14.2	-1.97	16.3	16.2	0.06
Randy Livingston	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	2	-10	12.6	14.1	-1.43	14.4	16.4	-1.95
Anfernee Hardaway	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-12	18	13.7	14.6	-0.91	16.6	14.9	1.69
Rex Chapman	22	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	6	-18	14.6	13.7	0.91	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Rodney Rogers	48	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-8	10	12.7	15.2	-2.54	16.6	15.8	0.77
Luc Longley	45	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	5	-16	16.4	11.8	4.55	15.5	16.8	-1.36
Tom Gugliotta	81	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	13.5	16.3	-2.76	16.1	17.1	-1.01
Jason Kidd	88	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-8	10	14.1	12.6	1.43	16.4	14.4	1.95
Clifford Robinson	89	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	14.0	12.7	1.32	16.6	11.1	5.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	80	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	16.2	16.1	0.12	13.4	17.2	-3.84
Mark Jackson	63	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	-1	8	15.8	17.0	-1.21	13.8	14.1	-0.28
Reggie Miller	81	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	3	0	16.0	17.3	-1.24	14.1	13.2	0.90
Dale Davis	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	2	2	16.5	15.8	0.64	15.1	12.2	2.90
Sam Perkins	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	2	2	15.9	16.7	-0.83	13.0	15.5	-2.50
Rik Smits	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-1	8	16.1	16.3	-0.18	14.9	13.1	1.80
Travis Best	25	27	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	6	-6	17.6	15.7	1.91	15.1	13.5	1.63
Al Harrington	21	24	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	5	-4	16.3	16.2	0.07	12.2	14.5	-2.25
Austin Croshere	44	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	16.5	16.0	0.46	13.8	14.0	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.86,0.89,0.99,0.95,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 69, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAC 82, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
HOU 91, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%