NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	8.7 [148]		MVP	Dan Majerle (MIA): +36.0%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	3.0 [104]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -39.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	-0.00	7	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.10	0.00	16	49%	0.09	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.05
Kendall Gill	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.01
Michael Cage	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Scott Burrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	3	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.14
Keith Van Horn	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.39	-0.16	-0.23	-0.00	15	29%	-0.33	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.06

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.20	0.18	0.02	11	91%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	19	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	42%	-0.03	3	-0.10	3	0%	-0.04
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	15	55%	0.02	4	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.28	-0.28	-0.07	-0.21	0.00	17	55%	-0.13	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.1	15.4	27.2	1.8	34.6	133.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -9.3%

NJN +43.5%

MIA -0.5%

NJN +12.2%

NJN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.8	15.2	102.3	101.1	101.7
season	15.5	15.7		102.1	101.2
opponent	15.9	14.7		98.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	15.0	16.9	19.3	16.0
MIA	14.5	16.3	18.2	18.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	75	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-7	15	15.7	17.3	-1.59	16.5	19.0	-2.55
Scott Burrell	35	33	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	17.7	14.8	2.87	17.8	16.1	1.67
Kerry Kittles	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.52	-6	7	-13	16.3	14.5	1.83	16.8	16.5	0.31
Michael Cage	45	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	-1	3	16.9	15.0	1.91	16.9	16.7	0.17
Evan Eschmeyer	32	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-3	7	15.1	16.5	-1.40	18.3	16.0	2.37
Keith Van Horn	59	61	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	5	-9	15.3	17.2	-1.87	15.8	19.0	-3.16
Johnny Newman	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.27	-3	4	-7	17.2	14.6	2.55	18.4	15.1	3.27
Kendall Gill	42	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-3	7	14.6	17.2	-2.55	15.1	18.4	-3.27
Jim McIlvaine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	2	-3	8.4	16.4	-8.01	11.6	17.1	-5.48
Lucious Harris	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	1	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.43	17.4	16.4	1.00

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	73	73	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.13	13	-14	27	16.7	17.3	-0.68	16.2	14.8	1.39
Otis Thorpe	14	14	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-2	3	17.2	16.7	0.53	15.4	16.1	-0.63
Clar. Weatherspoon	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-4	7	16.8	16.8	0.03	19.0	15.6	3.39
Rodney Buford	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	2	-5	18.1	16.6	1.50	14.6	16.1	-1.51
Anthony Carter	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-3	5	16.3	18.1	-1.86	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Mark Strickland	14	14	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	10	-21	18.7	16.4	2.31	13.1	16.5	-3.43
Rex Walters	24	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	2	-5	18.1	16.3	1.86	16.1	15.9	0.23
Dan Majerle	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	16.6	18.1	-1.50	16.1	14.6	1.51
Jamal Mashburn	78	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	16.8	16.8	-0.03	16.2	14.1	2.05
Alonzo Mourning	75	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	6	-13	16.4	18.7	-2.25	15.8	17.0	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.26,0	92.4%
HOU 93, NOK 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.59,0.28,0	90.8%
DAL 120, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.17,0	90.5%