inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 106 Excitement5.5 [699] MVPEddie Robinson (CHH): +6.3%
Miami Heat 89 Comeback3.7 [170] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -20.3%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Robinson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.040.02765%0.0600.00333%-0.02
Derrick Coleman0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.001659%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Bobby Phills0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.12-0.000.081082%0.061-0.0220%-0.04
Eddie Jones0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.070.031757%0.093-0.07875%-0.02
Brad Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00367%0.0200.006100%0.03
Ricky Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Michael Hawkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.011150%-0.001-0.034100%0.02
Baron Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02420%-0.031-0.022100%0.02
Elden Campbell-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01633%-0.061-0.033100%0.02
Anthony Mason-0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.00719%-0.102-0.05250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.014100%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.001248%0.0400.001100%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00283%0.061-0.032100%0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03575%0.0200.00250%0.00
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rodney Buford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.010.07480%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.02-0.071335%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031242%0.014-0.0800%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.00837%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.17-0.07-0.032037%-0.113-0.09850%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.61.626.415.632.51.028.8127.5
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +0.9%
CHH +13.4%
CHH +26.6%
CHH +8.2%
CHH +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHMIANBACHHMIANBA
this game14.615.215.2111.690.8101.7
season14.915.7101.5101.2
opponent15.915.198.299.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.716.515.612.014.6
MIA14.214.215.017.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones76790.65-0.150.79-0.2330-134314.714.40.3416.011.94.03
Eddie Robinson40410.57-0.070.650.081701712.516.2-3.7016.614.22.39
Bobby Phills49500.51-0.010.52-0.1121-42514.814.50.2816.414.02.38
Baron Davis41410.380.120.260.1298113.115.8-2.7215.714.90.80
Brad Miller29300.320.180.14-0.151611513.415.2-1.7717.014.42.60
Elden Campbell45490.230.27-0.03-0.0089-114.714.60.0915.015.3-0.31
David Wesley54570.100.40-0.31-0.08611-515.813.12.7214.915.7-0.80
Ricky Davis980.000.50-0.500.18-623-2911.115.0-3.909.715.7-5.93
Michael Hawkins980.000.50-0.500.18-623-2911.115.0-3.909.715.7-5.93
Todd Fuller980.000.50-0.500.18-623-2911.115.0-3.909.715.7-5.93
Derrick Coleman5558-0.130.63-0.75-0.07-219-2116.412.24.2614.516.2-1.66
Anthony Mason5961-0.140.64-0.77-0.08-219-2116.411.74.6614.316.6-2.34

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn56520.11-0.610.720.023-202314.116.7-2.6615.613.42.19
P.J. Brown39400.11-0.610.720.023-202316.114.61.4715.813.82.04
Clar. Weatherspoon28280.09-0.590.680.003-202314.715.4-0.6214.814.60.25
Rodney Buford890.00-0.500.50-0.217-24319.715.7-5.9311.115.0-3.90
Anthony Carter7371-0.10-0.400.300.22-11-6-515.115.5-0.3815.013.51.47
Otis Thorpe3633-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-8-114.115.8-1.7114.914.50.46
Mark Strickland1415-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.30-2-151313.415.5-2.0610.315.4-5.12
Voshon Lenard6463-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.17-11-6-515.315.00.3414.015.9-1.86
Alonzo Mourning8278-0.49-0.01-0.480.22-247-3115.811.93.9714.913.41.50
Rex Walters3333-0.520.02-0.54-0.14-13-4-916.414.61.7613.515.2-1.73
Dan Majerle5753-0.590.09-0.690.31-3114-4516.213.82.3914.914.40.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.56,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 103, PHI 950.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,093.6%
LAC 118, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,092.4%
UTA 116, NOP 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,091.9%