NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	9.0 [118]		MVP	Mark Bryant (CLE): +19.1%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	2.0 [546]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -32.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	9	79%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Ryan Stack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	44%	-0.06
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	6	74%	0.12	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.02
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	18	51%	-0.02	3	-0.08	17	88%	0.10
Lamond Murray	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	9	31%	-0.17	1	-0.07	8	75%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.00	10	62%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.06	-0.02	15	41%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11	-0.11	0.06	-0.13	0.03	15	68%	0.02	3	-0.13	14	86%	0.03
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	7	39%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.26,-0.29,-0.32	-0.32	-0.09	-0.22	0.01	12	45%	-0.18	2	-0.14	9	56%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	34.0	15.0	30.1	1.5	44.4	153.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -10.2%

CLE +49.5%

CLE +12.6%

WAS -2.6%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	12.9	15.2	15.2	108.8	104.9	101.7
season	14.1	15.5		98.0	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.3		104.4	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	11.6	14.0	13.4	12.9
WAS	15.0	17.2	14.8	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	50	53	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-3	9	12.5	13.3	-0.79	16.0	14.3	1.68
Brevin Knight	62	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	4	-5	11.7	14.7	-3.01	14.8	15.8	-0.95
Bob Sura	78	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	12.2	15.3	-3.15	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Mark Bryant	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-1	5	14.2	10.8	3.44	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Shawn Kemp	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.49	-5	8	-13	12.6	13.9	-1.30	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Andrew DeClercq	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-7	17	12.1	13.4	-1.30	17.0	14.1	2.95
Andre Miller	43	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	2	-1	13.9	12.2	1.66	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Danny Ferry	25	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	15.4	12.1	3.28	15.8	15.0	0.87
Wesley Person	71	70	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	2	-1	13.5	11.5	1.97	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Ryan Stack	3	3	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	5.3	13.2	-7.82	12.0	15.3	-3.26

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerard King	17	17	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.07	6	-9	15	15.9	15.0	0.86	13.9	12.7	1.15
Jahidi White	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	14.3	15.2	-0.86	16.0	12.8	3.20
Chris Whitney	25	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	3	-9	16.4	14.8	1.68	13.6	12.6	0.99
Ike Austin	53	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	0	-3	16.6	13.6	3.04	11.7	14.2	-2.47
Reggie Jordan	14	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.36	10.2	13.4	-3.17
Aaron Williams	43	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-5	7	15.3	15.1	0.24	15.6	10.9	4.69
Mitch Richmond	84	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-11	19	14.7	17.4	-2.77	13.0	12.7	0.21
Richard Hamilton	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	9	-21	17.3	14.6	2.70	13.9	12.6	1.30
Tracy Murray	53	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-5	7	15.0	15.3	-0.30	12.2	13.6	-1.43
Rod Strickland	80	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.53	4	-7	11	14.6	17.2	-2.64	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Michael Smith	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	2	-7	14.0	16.4	-2.44	13.6	12.2	1.34
Juwan Howard	67	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.50	-6	3	-9	15.0	15.4	-0.39	12.2	14.3	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.21,0.14,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.38,0.15,0.15,0.1,0	92.6%
CLE 96, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.09,0,0	91.9%
IND 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.02,0	91.4%