NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	6.5 [506]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +24.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.0 [989]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.25,0.25	0.02	0.22	-0.01	12	66%	0.30	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	68%	0.13	1	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	44%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	14	38%	-0.05	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	11	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	8	57%	-0.01	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.23,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	22	46%	-0.08	4	-0.10	13	69%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	35.8	17.7	26.3	2.6	35.1	142.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +65.7%

PHI -9.8%

PHI -4.1%

PHI -2.8%

POR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.2	98.0	91.9	101.7
season	15.9	15.0		105.9	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		98.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	13.2	13.4	16.8	14.4
PHI	15.7	15.6	13.8	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	76	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-13	32	14.7	13.3	1.46	15.2	12.9	2.26
Rasheed Wallace	85	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	13.7	18.4	-4.63	14.6	15.6	-1.09
Damon Stoudamire	73	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	13.7	16.2	-2.50	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Steven Smith	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	-2	10	13.8	16.0	-2.16	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Arvydas Sabonis	55	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-7	20	15.1	13.5	1.55	15.3	13.9	1.33
Detlef Schrempf	49	48	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	4	-2	15.0	13.8	1.14	14.7	14.7	0.04
Brian Grant	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	7	-8	14.9	14.3	0.56	15.8	14.6	1.22
Greg Anthony	26	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	10	-14	16.2	13.7	2.50	15.7	14.3	1.37
Stacey Augmon	23	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.19	-13	19	-32	13.3	14.7	-1.46	12.9	15.2	-2.26
Jermaine O'Neal	25	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.17	-15	21	-36	15.4	14.0	1.36	14.3	14.8	-0.52

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	61	59	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-16	26	14.3	15.3	-0.95	15.4	12.9	2.49
Bruce Bowen	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-6	6	0.0	14.7	-14.71	0.0	14.5	-14.53
Aaron McKie	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	13.1	15.2	-2.11	12.3	15.0	-2.65
Stanley Roberts	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	15.9	14.2	1.70	15.0	14.2	0.78
Todd MacCulloch	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	14.5	15.0	-0.51	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Larry Hughes	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	14.9	14.6	0.30	12.7	16.1	-3.42
Eric Snow	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	0	-6	14.3	15.1	-0.85	15.4	13.4	2.00
Billy Owens	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	14.7	14.6	0.09	14.2	14.8	-0.54
Allen Iverson	90	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.9	12.8	2.12	14.5	13.6	0.91
Theo Ratliff	72	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	10	-26	15.2	13.5	1.63	15.0	12.9	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	93.9%
POR 79, SAS 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.15,0	93.4%
NOH 112, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	93.2%