NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	128		Excitement	7.3 [366]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +30.8%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	4.1 [267]		LVP	Scot Pollard (SAC): -11.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.13	0.16	-0.02	13	71%	0.31	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	81%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	6	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nick Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Jason Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	15	68%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	15	41%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	7	44%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	23	57%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	14	47%	0.02	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	9	39%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.3	16.3	27.5	2.4	25.6	125.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +37.2%

SAC +16.0%

HOU -19.6%

SAC +17.7%

HOU -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	12.9	14.4	15.2	120.8	104.8	101.7
season	13.8	15.4		102.9	102.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.5	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.6	13.7	11.1	15.9	12.9
HOU	12.4	15.1	15.1	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	43	42	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.10	27	-9	36	14.3	11.9	2.40	16.1	13.3	2.77
Peja Stojakovic	62	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.18	26	-8	34	13.8	11.6	2.15	14.8	13.9	0.86
Lawrence Funderburke	42	41	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.19	25	-7	32	14.7	11.7	3.05	15.1	13.9	1.21
Darrick Martin	42	41	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.19	25	-7	32	14.7	11.7	3.05	15.1	13.9	1.21
Scot Pollard	62	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-1	20	13.7	11.8	1.84	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Vlade Divac	44	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	19	-20	11.8	13.7	-1.84	15.0	14.0	0.97
Chris Webber	64	64	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	25	-32	11.7	14.7	-3.05	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Jason Williams	64	64	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	25	-32	11.7	14.7	-3.05	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Corliss Williamson	44	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	26	-34	11.6	13.8	-2.15	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Nick Anderson	63	63	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	27	-36	11.9	14.3	-2.40	13.3	16.1	-2.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	30	31	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.00	8	-26	34	12.3	15.3	-2.95	12.1	13.2	-1.18
Shandon Anderson	87	87	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-19	20	13.4	19.4	-6.01	12.6	14.4	-1.79
Kelvin Cato	41	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-15	12	13.2	15.2	-1.91	13.5	12.5	1.00
Kenny Thomas	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	9.0	14.6	-5.57	23.7	12.6	11.08
Carlos Rogers	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.30	-14	-4	-10	14.2	14.4	-0.29	16.2	12.4	3.71
Tony Massenburg	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-11	4	16.3	14.0	2.40	12.0	13.1	-1.04
Charles Barkley	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-8	-2	14.6	14.2	0.35	12.4	13.6	-1.27
Hakeem Olajuwon	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-16	14	14.5	14.3	0.15	12.7	13.5	-0.83
Steve Francis	75	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	0	-18	14.7	13.6	1.13	12.6	13.6	-0.94
Cuttino Mobley	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	-2	-14	15.8	11.6	4.22	12.4	13.9	-1.43
Bryce Drew	49	50	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.14	-26	8	-34	15.4	13.6	1.83	14.4	11.6	2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.62,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.02,0	91.3%
UTA 96, DEN 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	90.8%
CLE 88, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,0	90.5%