NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	10.3 [46]		MVP	Jerome Kersey (SAS): +33.5%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	33.1 [45]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -47.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.2	0.00	0.19	-0.01	3	100%	0.27	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	19	74%	0.37	3	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	13	53%	0.23	3	-0.20	4	75%	0.00
Rik Smits	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	13	31%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.25,-0.28,-0.47	-0.13	-0.34	0.01	18	31%	-0.15	2	-0.33	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.34	0.34	0.04	0.30	0.00	4	73%	0.34	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.11
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	12	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.21,-0.17,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.00	24	42%	-0.04	5	-0.19	4	50%	-0.03
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.29,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.03	-0.24	0.02	14	56%	-0.22	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.25

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	2.6	27.3	17.7	25.2	2.6	32.3	2.5	25.1	160.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -44.3%

SAS +46.7%

IND -15.7%

SAS +59.6%

SAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.2	84.5	87.4	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		106.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		95.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.2	15.1	15.9	19.4	14.3	15.9
SAS	15.2	16.2	15.4	13.6	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	0	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	0.0	15.9	-15.86	0.0	15.2	-15.16
Dale Davis	70	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.33	8	-11	19	16.7	14.2	2.52	15.1	14.9	0.23
Sam Perkins	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-8	13	16.8	13.9	2.89	14.5	16.3	-1.79
Al Harrington	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	5	-13	14.3	17.0	-2.70	15.3	14.8	0.54
Austin Croshere	31	32	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	6	-15	14.9	16.3	-1.37	15.7	14.7	1.03
Reggie Miller	82	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-11	19	15.5	17.3	-1.79	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Rik Smits	30	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	2	-7	14.6	16.4	-1.74	16.3	14.5	1.79
Mark Jackson	70	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-8	13	16.5	14.4	2.12	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Travis Best	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	6	-15	15.6	15.9	-0.33	15.3	14.9	0.45
Jalen Rose	91	91	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	7	-17	15.9	15.6	0.32	15.0	15.1	-0.08

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	55	54	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.48	11	-8	19	14.3	15.8	-1.43	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Terry Porter	54	54	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-9	21	14.7	15.3	-0.60	16.4	15.3	1.03
Tim Duncan	92	93	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-2	7	15.1	14.5	0.62	16.2	12.3	3.95
David Robinson	80	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	1	1	15.2	14.2	1.02	16.0	15.3	0.75
Jaren Jackson	27	24	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-5	13	14.3	15.3	-0.97	16.1	15.8	0.29
Mario Elie	78	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.46	-6	9	-15	14.9	15.4	-0.46	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Samaki Walker	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.1	-0.62	12.3	16.2	-3.95
Malik Rose	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	1	1	15.5	14.9	0.59	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Chucky Brown	42	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	4	-5	15.7	14.5	1.19	16.1	15.7	0.40
Avery Johnson	55	54	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.02	-16	19	-35	15.4	14.5	0.88	15.2	16.6	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.13,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.46,0.62,0.36,0.32,0.08,1	88.2%
DEN 103, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.31,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.36,0.57,0.59,1	88.1%
MEM 102, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,1	87.6%